IranSource | Understanding and Analyzing a Multifaceted Iran


The December 5 issue of the weekly Sobhe Sadeq, the political organ of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), was filled with commentaries on the recent passage of the Iran Sanctions Extension Act (ISA) by the U.S. Congress that have important implications for Iran’s domestic politics as well as nuclear policies. 

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The Dec. 11 announcement that Boeing Corp. has finalized a $16.6 billion agreement to sell Iran 80 civilian aircraft is welcome news for a number of reasons.

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The victory of Donald Trump brought both relief and fear in Iran. While some are jubilant that Hillary Clinton lost and believe that Trump will conduct his presidency with a business mindset, most are fearful for the fate of the nuclear deal and the new era of international relations that Iran has been enjoying since 2013.

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It is difficult to predict President-Elect Donald Trump’s foreign policy in general, and thus even more difficult his policy toward Iran, given the contradictory positions he took during the campaign. However, drawing on key signs, there are both lights and shadows in his likely policies toward Iran.

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Historically, Iran and the United States have often chosen the wrong path when they faced a fork in their relations. After last week’s U.S. election, here we go again! Another chance that could be mishandled or missed.  

For now, Iran is in the driver’s seat and can choose to keep its destiny in its own hands or give into forces antagonistic to Iranian interests in a Trumpean environment. Now that the U.S. election is over and we have a new unknown as the president-elect, Iran can decide whether to reach out to Donald Trump, perhaps through private channels, or take a wait and see attitude and hope for the best. 

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Donald Trump will be a busy man January 20 as he nominates new cabinet secretaries and seeks to reshape a post-Barack Obama agenda in domestic and international affairs.

Among the issues he will confront is whether to continue U.S. compliance with Obama’s chief foreign policy legacy: the landmark nuclear agreement reached with Iran last year.

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President Hassan Rouhani addressed the Islamic Republic’s Majles (Parliament) on Nov. 1 on the occasion of confirmation hearings for three new ministers.

With the help of his supporters within the Majles, all three nominees won votes of confidence and are now ministers at least until new presidential elections scheduled for May 19, 2017.

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Iran last week experienced its largest protest demonstration since 2009 rallies after disputed presidential elections. The demonstration occurred on Friday at the tomb of Cyrus the Great in the ancient city of Pasargad, near Shiraz, in southern Iran.

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علی هاشمی، رئیس کمیته مستقل مبارزه با مواد مخدر دبیرخانه مجمع تشخیص مصلحت نظام، اخیراً در گفتگویی با خبرگزاری ایسنا در مورد آمار بیکاری در کشور، گفت که درصد واقعی بیکاری در برخی شهرها به نزدیک ۸۰ می رسد. اخباری این چنین، رکودی که در بازارهایی چون بازار مسکن ایران به چشم می خورد، و گلایه هایی که مردم عادی از وضع اقتصاد دارند، سبب نگرانی عده ای درباب شرایط اقتصادی «پس از برجام»‌ ایران شده است.

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