September 23, 2015
Renminbi Internationalization in Volatile Markets
By Global Business and Economics
The event brought together a number of high-level speakers, including Abel Clark, Global Managing Director at Thomson Reuters, Shuang Ding, Chief China Economist at Standard Chartered, Jens Nordvig, Head of Fixed Income Research at Nomura Securities, Dr. Wenjian Fang, Executive Vice President of the Bank of China, New York, Dr. Jin Zhongxia, Executive Director for China at the International Monetary Fund, and Dr. Chris Brummer, the report's rapporteur. Governor Jon Huntsman, Jr., Chairman of the Atlantic Council and Chair of the report, provided introductory remarks while Mark Boleat, Policy Chairman of the City of London Corporation, moderated the discussion.
Governor Huntsman opened the event with brief remarks, noting that the event came at a critical moment with President Xi Jinping's upcoming visit to Washington as well as at a time where concerns about the Chinese economy and financial system had "moved from the field of philosophical discomfort to tangible threats" with China's recent currency devaluation. Mr. Clark followed praising the report for examining the geopolitical context around the Renminbi's internationalization as well as for its increasingly pressing policy recommendations and sharp market predictions.
Dr. Brummer introduced the report and discussed some of it observations and recommendations, including the need for more supervision and transparency throughout the Chinese financial system and more clarity in regulatory policy, before handing over to Shuang Ding for a brief examination of China's current economic and financial situation in light of the recent stock market crash and currency devaluation. Mr. Ding emphasized that the recent devaluation of the Renminbi was likely motivated by a desire for the Renminbi to be included in the IMF's special drawing rights (SDR) and would therefore promote further internationalization of the currency even if it represented a short-term economic setback.
The panelists largely agreed that while there were significant short-term economic challenges, there was also reason for some optimism about long-term growth in China. In discussing the Renminbi and its internationalization more specifically, the panelists noted that the devaluation had provoked a disproportionate response from financial markets, as China still has significant currency reserves, desires currency stability, and is beginning to liberalize its capital account. Dr. Brummer also noted that the reaction of markets to the devaluation was in fact a sign of the RMB's ascendance in global payment systems, though cautioned that SDR inclusion should be accompanied with further regulatory reforms. The panel concluded with participants noting that the process of internationalization is a long one that the Chinese government is attempting to manage carefully, and that China is likely to play an increasing role in financial systems both regionally and globally.
The report, Renminbi Ascending, can be downloaded here.
A webcast of the event can be watched here.