Today, September 22, the Atlantic Council released a report on major global risks leading up to 2035. The world of 2035 will be fraught with risks both international and internal, as the breakdown of the post-Cold War security order is accompanied by the internal fraying in the political, social, and economic fabric of practically all states. The report is authored by Dr. Mathew J. Burrows, director of the Atlantic Council’s Strategic Foresight Initiative and formerly the principal drafter of the National Intelligence Council’s Global Trends series, including the highly influential Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds.
Given these trends, Dr. Burrows writes that, “in the best case, the world is looking at multipolarity with limited multilateralism…in the worst case, the multipolarity would evolve into another bipolarity—with China, Russia, and their partners pitted against the United States, Europe, Japan, and other allies. In that scenario, conflict would be almost inevitable.”