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We offer real-time analysis and commentary on a range of economic issues including international trade, economic sanctions, the European economy, and inclusive growth.

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Our in-depth research informs the decisions of government officials and business executives and helps them navigate an increasingly uncertain macroeconomic and geopolitical environment.



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Wed, Mar 18, 2020

The global economic policy response to coronavirus takes shape

Governments and central banks globally have been engaged in an initial round of measures to blunt the anticipated economic impact of the spread of the virus, including making funds available, lowering key interest rates, intervening in funding markets, and supporting emergency lending.

New Atlanticist by Bart Oosterveld

International Financial Institutions International Markets

Tue, Mar 17, 2020

How coronavirus is shaking the global economy

COVID-19’s deadly spread delivers a trifecta economic shock: there is a collapse of aggregate demand through severely reduced consumption, a shock to global business through supply chain interruptions and bankruptcies, and resulting financial market gyrations.

New Atlanticist by Bart Oosterveld

Coronavirus International Markets

Mon, Mar 16, 2020

Pushing back against Russian aggression: Legislative options

US President Donald J. Trump’s administration has found it challenging to maintain a consistent position with respect to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s repression at home and aggression abroad. It may again fall to Congress to attempt to counter Russia’s election interference, already ongoing in the form of disinformation; back Ukraine as its government seeks to […]

Issue Brief by Daniel Fried & Brian O'Toole

Economic Sanctions Economy & Business

Mon, Mar 16, 2020

The coronavirus recession deepens financial market turmoil

On balance, the global market turmoil—even in the face of central bank easing —shows the limits of monetary policy . It also suggests that investor confidence won’t be restored until there are clear signs of the COVID-19 pandemic peaking outside of China and that major governments can implement appropriately sized and well targeted fiscal stimulation programs to support the economy—particularly those most impacted by the pandemic.

New Atlanticist by Hung Tran

Coronavirus Financial Regulation

Fri, Mar 13, 2020

If history repeats: Coronavirus’ economic danger to youth

The serious health impacts of COVID-19 seem to be felt by older people above age sixty. However, as the novel coronavirus—now officially a pandemic according to the World Health Organization—spreads through societies and markets, youth, who account for roughly a quarter of the world’s population, are disproportionately at economic risk.

New Atlanticist by Nicole Goldin, PhD

Coronavirus Future of Work

Wed, Mar 11, 2020

Tran in The Financial Times: Coronavirus and debt: a toxic mix

The spread of the coronavirus is likely to tilt 2020 global economic growth below the OECD’s base-case estimate of 2.4 per cent (already below the 2.5 per cent threshold marking a global recession) towards its worst-case estimate of 1.5 per cent. This disease-induced shock to supply and demand could not have come at a worse […]

In the News

Economy & Business

Mon, Mar 2, 2020

COVID-19 can trigger a global economic crisis: Time for the G20 to act

As the novel coronavirus crisis builds and threatens a global economic recession, and the need for global cooperation is most acute, it remains to be seen if world leaders can step up and provide effective leadership to mitigate the risk. Judging by the bickering and mistrust displayed in the past two months, it may take a while for such cooperation to materialize.

New Atlanticist by Hung Tran

China Coronavirus

Mon, Feb 24, 2020

FATF blacklists Iran, but does it matter?

The decision to impose counter-measures by the Paris-based body signals something of an end to the group’s patience with Iran, especially by the European Union, after Tehran failed to follow through on the action plan it agreed upon with the FATF to address its deficiencies.

IranSource by Brian O’Toole

Economic Sanctions Iran

Thu, Feb 13, 2020

The UK’s busy trade agenda for 2020

Post-Brexit Britain is aiming for trade agreements with the EU, the Untied States, China, and more in 2020. But negotiating such a wide range of complex trade deals in a relatively short time frame is quite a formidable challenge.

New Atlanticist by Hung Tran

Trade United Kingdom

Wed, Feb 5, 2020

Europe to take center stage in global trade talks

With the “phase one” trade deal behind them, the United States and China will now probably shift attention to sorting out their economic and trade relationships with Europe. Caught in the middle of the US-China trade war and geopolitical competition, the European Union (EU) has tried to steer an independent course, balancing security and geopolitical concerns with economic and business needs. Doing so, however, has exposed many differences vis-a-vis the United States as well as China.

Insights & Impact by Hung Tran

China European Union


Fri, Apr 3, 2020

Live reaction to US March jobs report and the impact of the coronavirus on global economy with Dr. Carmen Reinhart

ONLINE EVENT - A virtual discussion reacting to the US March Jobs Report with Dr Carmen Reinhart.