• Kerry-Lavrov Talks? Fine, But US Must Lead in Real Deterrence to Putin on Ukraine

    Yesterday’s talks between Secretary of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov kept hope alive that Ukraine’s fields this spring might be visited by harvesters scything the winter wheat, instead of by Russian tanks and bomb craters. But while Lavrov agreed in Paris that a diplomatic solution to the crisis is needed, the Kremlin is delivering more clearly the opposite message with increased Russian forces along the border reported by the US and Ukrainian governments.

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  • How to Avoid Wars: NATO’s Article 5 and Strategic Reassurance

    The worst move in an international crisis is to confuse others about your resolve.  That way wars start, witness the first and second world wars when Britain failed to make clear early enough that it would fight.

    Might NATO be guilty of a similar lack of clarity today?   Not by measuring what it says. The appropriate words are being spoken and warnings given.  But words are not enough.

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  • Benitez on NATO's Response to Developments in Ukraine

    Atlantic Council Senior Fellow Jorge Benitez spoke with DefenseNews on NATO's response to the situation in Ukraine.

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  • Looking at Obama's Presidency

    Council President and CEO Fred Kempe appeared on CSPAN's Washington Journal this weekend. Kempe talked about President Obama’s trip abroad, during which the president attended the U.S.-European Union Summit in Brussels, met with Pope Francis in Vatican City, and then traveled to Saudi Arabia to meet with King Abdullah. The show started with a conversation about Russia's intentions in Ukraine and how President Obama has responded. The full show is available online below.

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  • The US and EU Must Take New Steps Quickly to Help Ukraine

    Transatlantic Allies Should Include Military Aid for Kyiv

    News organizations last week reported a new conclusion by US intelligence agencies that Russian forces massed on Ukraine’s eastern borders are increasingly likely to invade mainland Ukraine, only weeks after seizing Crimea. Russian President Vladimir Putin is determined to undermine the political legitimacy of a Ukrainian government that has shown itself insistent on aligning with the European Union rather than Russia. And that means derailing the May 25 election in which Ukraine will certainly choose a president who would pursue that European option. A successful election would unravel Putin’s argument that Viktor Yanukovych, who fled Ukraine last month into Russian exile, remains Ukraine’s legitimately elected president.

    The bulk of Russia’s forces comprise motorized brigades, special forces and airborne troops whose purpose would be a rapid advance to seize key industrial cities such as Kharkiv, Donetsk and Zaporizhzhya. Admiral Ihor Kabanenko, former first deputy chief of Ukraine’s armed forces general staff, says Russia has concentrated “offensive power” at the border and in Crimea with a “range of action covering the whole territory of Ukraine.”

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  • President of Estonia: Russia has to Pay a Price for its Aggression

    Russia's aggression in Ukraine marks a paradigm shift, the end of trust in the post-Cold War order.
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  • Brzezinski: Russian Forces "Poised to Move"

    Brent Scowcroft Center Senior Fellow Ian Brzezinski is quoted in USA Today on Ukraine's preparedness for an invasion by Russian forces:

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  • Ukraine Fears a Larger Russian Invasion, Top Security Official Says

    National Security Secretary in Kyiv Asks for a ‘Visible Presence’ of US, NATO Forces in Region

    Ukraine’s government is battling a Russian campaign of subversion in southern and eastern Ukraine that aims to let Moscow launch a Crimea-style takeover of as much as a third of the country, Ukraine’s top national security official said today. A force of nearly 100,000 Russian troops is massed along hundreds of miles of the two countries’ border and poses a “high risk of a direct military invasion into Ukraine’s territory,” said Andriy Parubiy, secretary of the Ukrainian National Security Council.

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  • Parubiy: Russia's Attempts to Subvert Ukraine Are Failing

    The Guardian quotes Andriy Parubiy's remarks from his live webcast conversation with Atlantic Council Executive VP Damon Wilson:

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  • Parubiy: 100,000 Russian Troops Near Border

    Agence France Presse covers Andriy Parubiy's remarks from his live webcast conversation with Atlantic Council Executive VP Damon Wilson:

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