Global Foresight 2024

The authoritative forecast for the year ahead—and beyond

Welcome to the third edition of Global Foresight from the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, home for the last decade to one of the world’s premier strategic foresight shops.

In this year’s installment, which is part of the Atlantic Council Strategy Papers series, our experts identify the top risks and opportunities for 2024, assessing the likelihood that each will occur. Our next-generation foresight team spots six “snow leopards”—under-the-radar phenomena that could have major unexpected impacts, for better or worse, in 2024 and beyond. And we share exclusive findings from our survey of leading strategists and foresight practitioners around the world on how human affairs could unfold over the next ten years across geopolitics, the global economy, climate change, technological disruption, and more.

Welcome to 2034

What the world could look like in ten years, according to nearly 300 experts

To survey the future, we polled global strategists and foresight gurus on our most burning questions about the biggest drivers of change over the next decade. Check out their forecasts on everything from how the conflict between Israel and Hamas might end to the future of AI.

Six snow leopards to watch in 2024

The underappreciated phenomena that could have outsize global impact

Because it receives relatively little attention in the press, the snow leopard does not appear significant enough to warrant much scrutiny as a driver of change and shaper of the future. Yet just like the real cat in the wild, the figurative snow leopard is something that could sneak up and vividly remind us of its power.

The top risks and opportunities for 2024

What threats and possibilities will the coming year bring?

2023 was marked by war in the Middle East and in Europe. What else looms on the horizon? The Atlantic Council’s foresight team brought their globe-spanning expertise to the task of forecasting the near future.

See Global Foresight in action

In September 2023, on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly’s annual gathering in New York, Atlantic Council experts got together to look toward 2024, and highlight the risks and opportunities that lie ahead.

Full survey results

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Jan 12, 2024

The Global Foresight 2024 survey: Full results

In the fall of 2023, the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security surveyed the future, asking leading global strategists and foresight practitioners around the world to answer our most burning questions about the biggest drivers of change over the next ten years. Here are the full results. 

China Climate Change & Climate Action

Strategy Paper Editorial board

Executive editors

Frederick Kempe
Alexander V. Mirtchev

Editor-in-chief

Matthew Kroenig

Editorial board members

James L. Jones
Odeh Aburdene
Paula Dobriansky
Stephen J. Hadley
Jane Holl Lute
Ginny Mulberger
Stephanie Murphy
Dan Poneman
Arnold Punaro

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Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series Jan 9, 2023

Welcome to 2033: What the world could look like in ten years, according to more than 160 experts

To survey the future, we polled global strategists and foresight gurus on our most burning questions about the biggest drivers of change over the next decade. Check out their forecasts on everything from the prospect of nuclear proliferation to the probability of great-power war to the potential for more global volatility.

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series Jan 20, 2023

Six ‘snow leopards’ to watch for in 2023

Atlantic Council foresight experts spot the underappreciated phenomena that could have outsize impact on the world, driving global change and shaping the future.

Brazil China

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series Dec 23, 2022

The top 23 risks and opportunities for 2023

The war in Ukraine changed the world in 2022. How will it continue reshaping global affairs in 2023 and what else looms on the horizon? The Atlantic Council’s top experts brought their globe-spanning expertise to the task of forecasting the near future.

Africa Americas