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Bremain vs Brexit

Mar 24, 2016

A Costly Goodbye

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Alvaro Morales Salto Weis & TK Spandhla</span>

On June 23, British citizens will decide on a referendum whether the UK stays or leaves the EU. The consequences of a vote to leave, or Brexit, could decide the UK’s place in the world for generations.

Economy & Business European Union

EconoGraphics

Mar 24, 2016

The French Way of Reforms

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Alvaro Morales Salto Weis & TK Spandhla</span>

France’s economy has struggled to grow in recent years, expanding by a mere 1.1% in 2015. Meanwhile its unemployment rate has stubbornly lingered around 10%, with a slight upwards trend.

Economy & Business Fiscal and Structural Reform

EconoGraphics

Mar 14, 2016

A Tale of Two QE’s

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Alvaro Morales Salto Weis & TK Spandhla</span>

On March 10, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced an expansion of its Quantitative Easing Program (QE), increasing the amount of government bonds it buys monthly from €60 billion to €80 billion. It also extended the range of assets it purchases to include investment grade non-bank corporate bonds. On top of that, the ECB lowered already negative deposit interest rates further down, to -0.4%, and its main interest rate to 0%. So, why have Central Banks embraced QE?

Economy & Business European Union

EconoGraphics

Mar 4, 2016

TTIP: Window of Opportunity is Closing

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Alvaro Morales Salto Weis & TK Spandhla</span>

The 12th round of negotiations for the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) concluded last week in Brussels on an optimistic tone. The Chief Negotiator for the EU announced significant advances in most negotiating areas, including on the Investor-State-Dispute Settlement (ISD), which had been frozen for months. His US counterpart expressed confidence in reaching an ambitious deal in the second half of the year, rejecting calls for a “TTIP lite”.

Economy & Business European Union

EconoGraphics

Feb 25, 2016

TTIP: Cutting the Red Tape

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Global Business and Economics</span>

The 12th round of negotiations for the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) unfolded this week in Brussels between the EU and their American counterparts. At a time when both parties are stuck with weak growth (and persistent high unemployment in Europe), the importance of TTIP cannot be understated.

Economy & Business European Union

EconoGraphics

Feb 23, 2016

Tug of Budget War in Brussles

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Global Business and Economics</span>

In the past weeks, the Portuguese government and EU authorities have engaged in a tug of war over the Portuguese budget proposal for 2016. The European Commission (EC) warned the newly elected anti-austerity government that it risked “serious non-compliance” with the EU’s fiscal rules. Finally, Lisbon narrowly avoided becoming the first Eurozone country to have its budget rejected by Brussels, as it agreed to additional tax hikes and spending cuts.

Economy & Business European Union

EconoGraphics

Feb 16, 2016

Dreaming Big: Size Matters

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Global Business and Economics</span>

Why are Google, Apple or Facebook American-born but not European? Concerns about Europe’s lack of innovative start-ups prompted the European Commission (EC) to launch the Entrepreneurship 2020 Action Plan, aimed at bolstering entrepreneurship culture.

Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia

EconoGraphics

Feb 8, 2016

Juncker Has a Plan

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Global Business and Economics</span>

Europe's fragile recovery has been ailing from low levels of investment. While GDP and consumption have surpassed their pre-crisis levels, by the end of 2014 gross capital formation was still around 15% below its 2007 peak (€230 billion to €370 billion less than the EU's long term investment average). That is why the EU launched an ambitious investment plan, the European Fund for Strategic Investments (EFSI).

Economy & Business European Union

EconoGraphics

Feb 1, 2016

Young Arrivals for an Ageing Europe

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Global Business and Economics</span>

Refugees are pouring into the European Union (EU) at a scale not seen since the Second World War. In 2015 alone, 893.695 applied for asylum, up from around 250.000 in 2010, according to Eurostat. The magnitude of these influxes has rocked the EU boat, prompting yet another consequential crisis on top of last year’s Greek bailout and the incoming referendum on the UK’s permanence.

Economy & Business European Union

EconoGraphics

Jan 21, 2016

Feeling the Oil Crunch

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Global Business and Economics</span>

Oil prices have fallen to their lowest since 2003, sitting under $30 a barrel in recent days. Declining expectations of global growth plus the addition of post-sanction Iranian supply don’t spell a substantial price recovery in the immediate future. Under this new market realities, oil-exporting countries come in different form to weather the storm.

Economy & Business Financial Sanctions and Economic Coercion

Content

Econographics

Oct 24, 2023

Creditors are still not doing enough to relieve developing country debt: A tale of two confabs

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert" >Vasuki Shastry and Jeremy Mark</span>

The fragmentation on display at the IMF - WB Annual Meetings and the BRI Anniversary event doesn't bode well for deeply indebted developing countries.

Africa China

Econographics

Oct 20, 2023

Breaking down China and India’s race to represent the Global South

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Hung Tran</span>

The divergences between them will define geopolitics.

Economy & Business G20

Econographics

Oct 5, 2023

By the numbers: Here’s how turmoil in Congress could impact US aid to Ukraine

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert" >Yulia Bychkovska and Charles Lichfield</span>

The US aid to Ukraine can continue to flow for the next few weeks but the recent events make the outlook for US aid more difficult.

Economy & Business Financial Sanctions and Economic Coercion
International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva holds up a logo for the 2023 global policy agenda at the start of a news conference during the 2023 Spring Meetings of the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund in Washington, U.S., April 13, 2023. REUTERS/Elizabeth Frantz

Econographics

Sep 19, 2023

How the IMF can make sovereign debt restructuring more effective

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert" >Bruce Shen and Euel Kebebew</span>

In light global debt crisis, the IMF plays crucial role in navigating complexities exacerbated by COVID-19, emphasizing transparency, incentives, and innovative financial tools for effective debt management.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Sep 18, 2023

How Germany’s security strategy incorporates economic resilience

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Hung Tran</span>

The National Security Strategy represents a step forward for Germany, but highlights how difficult "integrated security" can be.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Aug 31, 2023

Indonesia’s economy will surpass Russia’s sooner than expected. Here’s what that says about the global economy.

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Josh Lipsky</span>, <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Niels Graham</span>

In 2026, Indonesia is expected to surpass Russia to become the world’s sixth largest economy

Economy & Business Fiscal and Structural Reform

Econographics

Aug 25, 2023

Understanding the growing use of local currencies in cross-border payments

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Hung Tran</span>

Local currencies don’t threaten the dollar, but they’re changing how payments are made around the world.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Aug 23, 2023

What Brazil’s “multipolar” foreign policy means for the Bretton Woods institutions

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert" >Jack Tapay-Cueva and David Dong</span>

The BWIs must address the evolving attitudes of countries like Brazil to maintain their relevance in an ever-changing global order.

Brazil China

Econographics

Aug 17, 2023

The Chinese economy’s moment of macro weakness—in charts

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Niels Graham</span>

The Chinese economy is weakening as seen through indicators related to its property and manufacturing sectors, unemployment, inflation, and trade.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Aug 15, 2023

Two credit downgrades in the US are a much-needed warning 

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Hung Tran</span>

Fitch's decision to downgrade US long-term credit ratings is another warning sign. Neither the complacency of markets nor the forced optimism of officials reflects the seriousness of rating agencies’ concerns with the US economy.

Economy & Business Fiscal and Structural Reform