Experts

Content

Mon, Jan 20, 2020

A frozen conflict may be Ukraine’s best option

Many hoped President Zelenskyy's April 2019 election could break the deadlock in peace talks with Russia. However, it now looks like the best Ukraine can expect is a transition from hot war to frozen conflict. That may not be such a bad outcome, argues James Brooke.

UkraineAlert by James Brooke

Conflict Russia

Fri, Jan 17, 2020

Berlin conference: The end of the game?

The upcoming conference could result in the acceptance by all of Haftar’s future role in Libya and the legitimization of his attack against Tripoli. The Berlin conference could be a trap for the GNA, the courageous fighters of Tripoli, and the population of western Libya.

New Atlanticist by Karim Mezran

Conflict Libya

Fri, Jan 17, 2020

Khamenei’s rare sermon shows Tehran’s continued defiance

Khameinei's January 17 speech shows that "those placing hopes in recent protests in Iran to shake—or even overturn—the system underestimate its power and ruthlessness," Barbara Slavin explains.

New Atlanticist by Atlantic Council

Conflict Iran

Thu, Jan 16, 2020

Consequences of Iraq’s vote to end Coalition troop presence

The parliament’s vote on January 5 was driven by emotional rhetoric of sovereignty and patriotism that left no space for dissent and implicitly accused anyone going against the current of betraying Iraq’s sovereignty. The vote displayed majoritarian rule at its worst with the underlying premise that the Shia religious groups can and will determine the interests of Iraq and determine its future, to the exclusion of other communities. The views of Kurds and Sunnis, and indeed of more secular Shia groups, were ignored, with the implication that their patriotism is suspect.

MENASource by Rend Al-Rahim

Conflict Iraq

Thu, Jan 16, 2020

Think again

In a recent National Interest article, George Beebe dismisses US policy on Ukraine as “steeped in illusions” and argues for a “sensible alternative.” It is a nice try, but what he comes up with does not pass muster.

Long Take by John E. Herbst

Conflict NATO

Mon, Jan 13, 2020

Iran plane tragedy proves lessons of MH17 have not been learned

Amid the outpourings of anger and grief over the downing of a Ukrainian passenger plane by Iran, the disaster also raises troubling questions about aviation security and the apparent failure to learn from past tragedies of this nature such as the 2014 MH17 attack.

UkraineAlert by Michael Bociurkiw

Conflict Iran

Sun, Jan 12, 2020

Warrick quoted in USA Today on Iran’s missile attack on US air bases

In the News by Atlantic Council

Conflict Iran

Sat, Jan 11, 2020

Abu Dhabi dispatch: The Soleimani earthquake and coming aftershocks

The conventional wisdom – underpinned by visuals from Iran – is that the US drone strike reinforced hardliners and shifted the internal Iranian dynamics from protests against the regime to angry demonstrations against the United States. Far harder to measure is the longer-term impact of Soleimani’s absence on the country’s revolutionary effectiveness and structure.

Inflection Points by Frederick Kempe

Conflict Iran

Fri, Jan 10, 2020

Bryza joins Indus News to discuss US-Iran relations and politico-military theory

In the News by Atlantic Council

Conflict Iran

Fri, Jan 10, 2020

Cohen in Forbes: Oil Markets Prove Resilient In Aftermath Of Iran Attacks – For Now

In the News by Atlantic Council

Conflict Iran