What’s next?

Spotlight: Ten questions for 2020

It’s that time of year for us to look at the trends expected to take center stage in Latin America in 2020, offer some predictions, and invite you to participate and share your views. Join us in taking this informal poll! Let us know how you foresee the major trends breaking, and see if you can get the 10/10 high score in predicting our forecasts.

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Latest from the region

Bolivia in transition: Read Jason Marczak’s latest analysis

After allegations of election fraud, former President of Bolivia Evo Morales fled to Mexico seeking asylum, and the opposition senator Jeanine Áñez assumed the vacated office as interim president. The Bolivian people and wider region remain divided about whether the election was legitimate, and if they should now recognize Áñez as president.

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The Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center expands awareness of the new Latin America across diverse communities of influence by positioning the region as a core partner in the transatlantic community.

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Wed, Jan 15, 2020

Stemming Maduro’s Illicit Activities: What’s Next After the Jan. 5 Elections?

Beyond hyperinflation and human rights abuses, the Maduro regime has diversified its criminal portfolio and profited from a host of illicit activities, from drug smuggling to illegal mining.

Event Recap by Pablo Reynoso

Corruption Crisis Management
AlertaVenezuela email banner

Tue, Jan 14, 2020

#AlertaVenezuela: January 14, 2020

Twitter suspended dozens of accounts connected to the Maduro regime on January 7, 2020, including the official accounts of the Ministerio del Poder Popular de Petróleo (the Ministry of People’s Power for Petroleum), the Minister of the Interior, the Central Bank of Venezuela, and the Bolivarian Army of Venezuela.

#AlertaVenezuela by Atlantic Council's DFRLab

Disinformation Venezuela

Mon, Jan 13, 2020

Spotlight: Alejandro Giammattei’s first 100 days

Guatemala will begin a new chapter today with the presidential inauguration of Alejandro Giammattei Falla. At the center of the incoming pro-business administration: ushering in a new era of economic growth and job creation. With 59 percent of Guatemalans living in poverty, Central America’s largest and most populous country is also one the poorest and most unequal nations in Latin America. What are the priorities of President Giammattei to address such longstanding challenges? With the termination of the CICIG and ever-present migration challenges, can President Giammattei improve the living conditions for the millions of Guatemalans who seek a better future in their own country?

Issue Brief by María Fernanda Pérez Argüello and Domingo Sadurní

Latin America Migration

Mon, Jan 13, 2020

Trump’s bilateral trade deals are undermining the global trading system

Overall, the three early 2020 agreements have started to transform the multilateral rule-based system into a largely bilaterally managed, outcome-based system. RTAs and their new practices accelerate the fragmentation of the world trading system into numerous trading zones with different overlapping memberships and trade coverage, tariffs, quotas, and quantitative trade targets, plus other rules such as local content and country of origin requirements as well as dispute settlement processes.

New Atlanticist by Hung Tran

China European Union

Mon, Jan 13, 2020

China’s support for the Maduro regime: Enduring or fleeting?

As Venezuela’s biggest creditor, China is carrying the burden of Venezuela’s economic collapse. The PRC has become increasingly aware of this unsustainable situation, and, behind closed doors, has been in communications with the interim government. Back in February, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said that China is open to working with a different government to ensure payment for the loans-for-oil deals. Strictly speaking, China’s relationship with the South American country is transactional, not ideological.

New Atlanticist by Cristina Guevara

China International Markets

Wed, Jan 8, 2020

After Maduro’s latest ploy, what’s next for the Venezuelan opposition?

"The images of Juan Guaidó and other democratically-elected members of the National Assembly being physically barred from entering the assembly building was visible proof of how far Nicolás Maduro is willing to go to deny any semblance of democracy in Venezuela," Jason Marczak says.

New Atlanticist by Jasper Gilardi

Civil Society Corruption
AlertaVenezuela email banner

Tue, Jan 7, 2020

#AlertaVenezuela: January 7, 2020

As Nicolás Maduro and Juan Guaidó waged a political battle for Venezuela, they spent 2019 going head to head on social media as well. Social media is an important battlefield in Venezuela and one of the areas the regime prioritizes in order to control the country. The DFRLab analyzed their social presence on Facebook and Twitter from January to December 2019 and concluded that, even though Maduro has more followers and page likes, Guaidó garners more engagement with his posts.

#AlertaVenezuela by Atlantic Council's DFRLab

Disinformation Venezuela

Mon, Dec 23, 2019

Spotlight: 10 Questions for 2020

Looking ahead at the year 2020 in Latin America, here are our predictions for the top 10 questions facing the region. What's your take?

Issue Brief by Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center

Economy & Business Latin America
AlertaVenezuela email banner

Tue, Dec 17, 2019

#AlertaVenezuela: December 17, 2019

As Nicolás Maduro and Juan Guaidó waged a political battle for Venezuela, they spent 2019 going head to head on social media as well. Social media is an important battlefield in Venezuela and one of the areas the regime prioritizes in order to control the country. The DFRLab analyzed their social presence on Facebook and Twitter from January to December 2019 and concluded that, even though Maduro has more followers and page likes, Guaidó garners more engagement with his posts.

#AlertaVenezuela by Atlantic Council's DFRLab

Disinformation Venezuela

Fri, Dec 13, 2019

Conference call: US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) deal reached

On December 12, the Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center and Baker McKenzie held a conference call to discuss the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) deal, its implications, and the road ahead.

Event Recap by Frederico Froes and Pablo Reynoso

Americas Economy & Business