Content

Tue, Jun 2, 2020

Geometries of deterrence: Assessing defense arrangements in Europe’s northeast

Nations in Europe's northeast cooperate through a variety of multilateral security and defense arrangements. "Geometries of Deterrence" assesses how these arrangements individually and collectively contribute to deterrence and defense in Northeastern Europe.

In-Depth Research & Reports by Hans Binnendijk and Conor Rodihan

Defense Policy Europe & Eurasia

Mon, Jun 1, 2020

Executive summary: The virus and global order

The COVID-19 pandemic is having dramatic effects on everyday life, but its geopolitical implications could prove to be even more profound. The pandemic is exacerbating and unleashing pressure points in the global order, including intensified US-China competition, that could fundamentally reshape geopolitics.

Issue Brief by Jeffrey Cimmino, Matthew Kroenig, and Barry Pavel

China Coronavirus

Mon, Jun 1, 2020

Taking stock: Where are geopolitics headed in the COVID-19 era?

The COVID-19 pandemic has stressed pressure points in the global order and threatens to unravel the rules-based international system. This paper examines the geopolitical implications of the pandemic by identifying key strategic shocks and tensions exacerbated by the virus. It also identifies uncertainties for the global order and provides policy recommendations for how the United States and its allies should address the pandemic.

Issue Brief by Jeffrey Cimmino, Matthew Kroenig, and Barry Pavel

China Coronavirus

Tue, May 26, 2020

European energy security and the critical role of transatlantic energy cooperation

Transatlantic cooperation is essential to European energy security, which is and should remain a key national security priority for the United States. European energy security is crucial for the maintenance of a strong European economy and for European political stability, both of which are in the best interests of the United States. This report recommends that the United States and the EU focus their energy cooperation in several areas that will benefit the EU’s efforts to meet climate targets and that, at the same time, will also bolster energy security.

Report by Richard L. Morningstar, András Simonyi, Olga Khakova, Jennifer T. Gordon

Energy & Environment Europe & Eurasia

Sat, May 16, 2020

Downstream oil theft: Countermeasures and good practices

Downstream oil theft has become a global problem. Since most of the world’s energy systems still rely on oil, fuel smugglers are nearly always able to find markets for their goods. Moreover, as oil is not inherently illegal, it is generally an easy product to move, buy, and sell. Profits from oil theft are frequently used to fund terrorism and other illegal activities.

Report by Dr. David Soud with contributing authors Dr. Ian Ralby and Rohini Ralby

Energy & Environment Energy Markets & Governance
Destroyed village in Lebanon

Wed, May 13, 2020

Counting the cost: Avoiding another war between Israel and Hezbollah

The Atlantic Council has released a new report, “Counting the Cost: Avoiding Another War between Israel and Hezbollah,” authored by Nicholas Blanford and Assaf Orion.

In-Depth Research & Reports by Nicholas Blanford and Assaf Orion

Conflict Crisis Management

Mon, May 11, 2020

Trump’s JCPOA withdrawal two years on: Maximum pressure, minimum outcomes

Two years ago, US President Donald J. Trump walked into the White House Diplomatic Reception Room and announced his intention to withdraw the United States from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The Trump administration reimposed sanctions on Iran and has adopted a policy of “maximum pressure” to compel Iran to change its behavior […]

Issue Brief by David Mortlock

Economic Sanctions Economy & Business
A net launched from a net-capture system just before catching its target, Quantico, Virginia (December 2018). Source: Red Six Solutions

Mon, May 4, 2020

Drone attacks against critical infrastructure: A real and present threat

Read the Middle East Program's new paper on the use of weaponized drones in the Middle East, with recommendations for policymakers.

Issue Brief by Dr. Scott Crino and Conrad "Andy" Dreby

Drones Middle East

Thu, Apr 30, 2020

Loose cobras: DPRK regime succession and uncertain control over offensive cyber capabilities

Unconfirmed rumors surfaced in mid April 2020 regarding the potential incapacitation of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, leading to speculation about the ramifications of a sudden transition of leadership in Pyongyang. These rumors raise serious concerns over the stability of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea’s (DPRK) control of offensive cyber operations capabilities.

Issue Brief by JD Work

Cybersecurity East Asia
Cover Image for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Policy

Thu, Apr 30, 2020

Sustainable aviation fuel policy in the United States: A pragmatic way forward

Aviation’s reliance on fossil fuels, its expected future growth rates, and the service lifespan of aircraft make it a difficult section of the transportation sector to decarbonize.

Report by Fred Ghatala

Energy & Environment Renewables & Advanced Energy