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Econographics

Mar 20, 2023

The US debt limit is a global outlier

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert">Mrugank Bhusari</span>

Debt limits are not the norm in public finance. But countries that have adopted them do not let them cause economic chaos.

Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia

Econographics

Mar 15, 2023

Essential but unevenly distributed: IMF’s response to sovereign debt and financial crises

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert">Amin Mohseni-Cheraghlou</span>

The IMF's response to today's multifaceted challenges will require broader financing support.

Africa Economy & Business

EconoGraphics

Mar 13, 2023

Silicon Valley Bank failed: What happens next?

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert">Hung Tran</span>

Even if the contagion effects are contained, risks to the financial stability of the US and the world have increased significantly. The Fed can no longer focus only on bringing down inflation, but must also avoid exacerbating financial stability risks.

Economy & Business Financial Regulation

Econographics

Jan 26, 2023

Global Sanctions Dashboard: How sanctions will further squeeze the Russian economy in 2023

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >Charles Lichfield, Maia Nikoladze, and Castellum.AI</span>

The effects of sanctions on the Russian economy; Venezuela's pursuit of lifting energy sanctions; the plans for screening EU-US outbound investment going into China.

China Europe & Eurasia

Econographics

Jan 23, 2023

Russian finance pivots east

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert">Niels Graham</span>

Starting in 2014 and accelerating after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Moscow launched a financial pivot toward China. While it initially worked for both countries, economic stress in China as well as the risk of overreliance on Beijing may hinder its future success

China Economy & Business

EconoGraphics

Jan 14, 2023

Global Economic Events Calendar

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert" >GeoEconomics Center</span>

The Global Economic Events Calendar tracks key central bank meetings, major data releases, and significant international economic and political events

Economy & Business

Econographics

Jan 9, 2023

Fed reverse repos hit a new record: An unhealthy development

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert">Hung Tran</span>

The Fed's large footprint in private short-term financial transactions will have largely negative implications for the US financial system and economy.

Economy & Business Macroeconomics

Econographics

Dec 15, 2022

A different monetary policy path in 2023

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert">Ole Moehr</span>

Decisions and statements this week from the Fed, ECB, and the BOE tell us how they will each deploy tools at their disposal differently in 2023.

Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia

Econographics

Dec 8, 2022

The numbers that drove China’s Zero-COVID policy

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert">Niels Graham</span>

China's adherence to zero-COVID was primarily driven by poor vaccination rates among seniors and weak health care infrastructure. As the country opens, both factors remain key health risks.

China Coronavirus

Econographics

Nov 23, 2022

US-China competition after the US midterms and the CCP 20<sup>th</sup> Congress

By <span class="gta-embed–tax–expert gta-post-embed–tax–expert">Hung Tran</span>

For the first time since becoming President, Joe Biden met face-to-face with Secretary General Xi Jinping on November 14, 2022, at the outset of the G20 Summit in Bali, Indonesia. Against the backdrop of rising tensions between the two countries, the United States hoped it would “put a floor under the relationship.” But the recent […]

China Economy & Business

Content

Econographics

Aug 25, 2022

Delisting Chinese companies from the New York Stock Exchange: Signs of decoupling

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Hung Tran</span>

China’s decision to delist five companies from the NYSE is motivated by its unwillingness to comply with US regulations.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Aug 24, 2022

Delayed but not defeated: The road ahead for a global minimum corporate tax

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert" >Jeff Goldstein</span>

Although the implementation process has been rocky and delayed, the incentives and motivation to move forward do exist, and the global minimum corporate tax is likely to advance.

Economy & Business European Union

Econographics

Aug 16, 2022

US climate spending may soon match that of developed peers

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert" >Sophia Busch, Carrie Hsu</span>

Now that the US has passed the Inflation Reduction Act, its spending commitments on climate adaption and mitigation may match those for the UK and EU through 2025.

Economy & Business United Kingdom

Econographics

Aug 12, 2022

Summer reading list: Future of money edition

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Ananya Kumar</span>

These are our top picks for your summer reading list on the future of money: everything from trying to understand the news better to what’s next in the world of innovation.

Digital Currencies Digital Policy

Econographics

Aug 3, 2022

Trading geopolitics: The US-Chinese capital markets

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Elmar Hellendoorn</span>

Increased Chinese-Western capital market integration is just one scenario. Instead, ”strong decoupling” or “muddling through” may prove more likely.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Aug 2, 2022

The global slowdown: Why Sub-Saharan Africa is so important

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert" >Amin Mohseni-Cheraghlou and Naomi Aladekoba</span>

The global community, with the leadership of the IMF and the World Bank, needs to focus on Sub-Saharan Africa. While the population in countries that have moved into the high-income and upper middle-income categories are now aging rapidly, Sub-Saharan Africa is home to one of the world’s youngest population structure. In addition to lifting hundreds of millions of people out of poverty in this region, sustained and inclusive growth over the next two decades in Sub-Saharan Africa could contribute to the growth in the global economy.

Africa Economy & Business

Econographics

Jul 28, 2022

Keeping everyone in the club: How sanctions complicate the Bretton Woods Institutions’ job

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Mrugank Bhusari</span>, <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Maia Nikoladze</span>, <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Amin Mohseni-Cheraghlou</span>

With a voting majority at the Bretton Woods Institutions, the G7 and EU can collectively ask the institutions to comply with their sanctions. This is complicating the IMF and World Bank's functions.

Economy & Business European Union

Econographics

Jul 28, 2022

When does an economy enter recession?

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert" >Charles Lichfield, Sophia Busch</span>

US GDP growth was negative for two consecutive quarters, fulfilling textbook definitions of a recession. Regardless of definition, this period of contraction is different from previous periods with a much tighter labor market.

Economy & Business Macroeconomics

Econographics

Jul 26, 2022

Slow growth exacerbates China’s financial stability risks

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Hung Tran</span>

China's slowing growth, if left unchecked, will threaten its small- and medium-sized banks. This "Achilles' heel" of its banking system will be further weakened by spreading problems in the property sector.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Jul 14, 2022

The Euro at parity with the USD: Implications for the global economy

By <span class="gta-embed--tax--expert gta-post-embed--tax--expert">Hung Tran</span>

The difficult challenges facing the Euro Area and actions taken to calm inflation in the US make it difficult for the EA and other countries to undertake their own policy measures to counter the looming stagflation and recession threats.

Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia