Content

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

Unchallenged currencies and the IMF

By Robert A. Manning

The US dollar remains the world’s unchallenged global reserve currency, and the IMF’s global role appears secure for now. However, that status quo is unlikely to persist without reform or fragmentation, given trends of regionalization, exclusive nationalism, and great power competition, combined with digitization and emerging technologies.

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

The international financial system

By Robert A. Manning

The economic fallout of COVID-19 is only the most recent in a series of challenges that have raised serious questions about the durability of the Bretton Woods system. In particular, tensions between global and regional financial mechanisms have remained unresolved.

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

Emerging technologies: new challenges to global stability

By Robert A. Manning

The world may be fast approaching the perfect storm, with the intersection of two major global trends. At a moment of historic transition, when the post-WWII and post-Cold War international order is eroding amid competing visions of world order and renewed geopolitical rivalries, the world is also in the early stages of an unprecedented technological transformation

China Cybersecurity

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

I. The emerging tech revolution

By Robert A. Manning

Technological advancements in fields ranging from AI to biotech are already rapidly changing existing economic, social and geopolitical arrangements. How well nations are able to innovate and adapt will play a large role in determining their standing in the decades ahead.

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

Will AI and robots kill jobs?

By Robert A. Manning

New technologies are being rolled out across the world at a pace that outstrips our ability to comprehend their implications. Concerns over the death of jobs may be overblown, but the need to understand and mitigate the risks presented by emerging technologies remains.

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

National security impact

By Robert A. Manning

Technological change throughout history shaped and reshaped the strategy, tactics, and the character of war. Today’s emerging technologies have the potential to revolutionize warfighting, while also posing new challenges to strategic stability across increasingly contested global commons—air, sea, cyber, and space.

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

II. The governance conundrum

By Robert A. Manning

As the challenges posed by emerging disruptive technologies become clear, so too does the troubling deficit of global governance. The fraying of existing institutions and the resurgence of major-power competition only exacerbate this governance challenge.

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

AI: preventing the coming storm

By Robert A. Manning

Developing ethical principles, standards, and norms governing AI is perhaps the most imperative governance challenge for the coming decade. In particular, the risks posed by AI and autonomous weapons require a rethinking of what constitutes a durable framework for strategic stability.

Gulf States - Netanyahu & Qaboos

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

Israel’s growing ties with the Arab Gulf states

By Jonathan H. Ferziger, Gawdat Bahgat

Once thought to be irreconcilable adversaries, Israel and the Gulf states have grown closer in recent years. What started as under-the-table intelligence sharing designed to counter Iran’s ambitions throughout the Middle East has morphed into greater cooperation not only on security but also on economic, political, and cultural issues.

Israel Politics & Diplomacy

Issue Brief

Jul 7, 2020

Global and regional trade systems

By Robert A. Manning

In the context of growing concerns over the global trading system, intra-regional accords have proliferated, in part as a hedge against US economic nationalism and global uncertainty. Many states are also looking to increase ties with the Asia-Pacific as the key driver of global growth.

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