January 24, 2018
Brazil's Lula Suffers a Setback
By Ashish Kumar Sen
The court’s ruling complicates Lula’s plans to run for a third term in office in the election on October 7. Lula was an early favorite, according to pollster Datafolha, which found that thirty-six percent of surveyed voters preferred the ex-president.
A lower court ruled in 2017 that Lula had accepted millions in bribes from a construction firm in exchange for government contracts. Lula is among dozens of politicians and businessmen who have been caught up in the Petrobras scandal.
Lula still has a range of legal options to appeal the ruling.
Jason Marczak, director, Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center. Follow him on Twitter @jmarczak.
“Today’s decision is a corner turned for Brazil. It shows the strength and resiliency of the Brazilian judiciary following years of corruption investigations. Even a popular former president is not above the rule of law.
“Markets are reacting quickly to today’s decision to not only uphold but actually extend Lula’s conviction —the frontrunner in pre-election polls. Any way you cut it, a 3-0 decision against Lula severely limits the possibility that—if he decides to run—he will be a viable candidate.”
Roberta S. Braga, assistant director, Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center. Follow her on Twitter @RobertaSBraga.
“The three judges’ decisions to uphold Lula’s conviction—and to increase his sentence from nine years and six months to twelve years and one month—is historic for Brazilians longing for justice.
“With little legal recourse at his disposal, this is a worst-case scenario for the former president. What is certain is that this is an unprecedented scenario for the country.
“Brazilians will continue to closely follow Lula's fate in the coming weeks and months, especially if he continues to campaign for an office he may ultimately be unable to occupy.”
Ashish Kumar Sen is deputy director of communications at the Atlantic Council. Follow him on Twitter @AshishSen.