TUESDAY, OCTOBER 7
8:30 – 9:00 am Registration and Breakfast
9:00 – 9:05 pm Welcome
Barry Pavel, Vice President and Director, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Secutiry, Atlantic Council (@BarryPavel)
9:05 – 10:05 am Scene Setter: The United States’ and Europe’s Relationship with Asia
What are the common US and European interests in Asia Pacific?
Where might interests diverge?
How might any divergences among US and European interests in Asia affect the transatlantic relationship?
Moderator: Fran Burwell, Vice President and Director, Transatlantic Relations Program, Atlantic Council (@FranBurwell)
- Helena Sångeland, Deputy Director General and Head, Department for Asia and the Pacific Region, Ministry for Foreign Affairs of Sweden (@HelenaSangeland)
10:10 – 11:15 am Keynote: The Rise of China – The True Game Changer
How does China’s growing regional and international influence affect the United States’ and European relationship with the rest of Asia?
How will economic interdependence and China’s dominant economic role impact regional security and US/European freedom of action?
How does China’s growing military power respectively affect US and European interests?
Moderator: Roger Cliff, Nonresident Senior Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council
Geoff Dyer, Author, The Contest of the Century: The New Era of Competition with China—and How America Can Win (@DyerGeoff)
11:15 – 11:30 am Break
11:30 – 1:00 pm Outlook to 2025: The Transatlantic Partnership in Asia
What events could occur in Asia over the next ten years that would fundamentally alter the region, and what opportunities and challenges for the US and Europe do these possible events present?
If yesterday’s Asian status quo is long gone, what is the a) ideal and b) realistic state for European and US relations with Asia in 2025?
What mechanisms need to be in place? Where do interests converge for Europe and Asia? How can they better cooperate on Asian economic and security issues? What are some uncommon areas of interests that both actors could develop further?
How do powers such as China, Japan, and Australia view the transatlantic partnership? What are their objectives in enhancing relations with the United States and Europe? What are their security priorities, and how will they coordinate with the United States and Europe on maritime security?
Moderator: Matthew Burrows, Director, Strategic Foresight Initiative, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council (@Matburrows)
- Hans-Christian Hagman, Director of Strategic Analysis, Government Offices of Sweden
- Kathleen Hicks, Senior Vice President; Henry A. Kissinger Chair; Director, International Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies (@kath_hicks)
- Leo Michel, Distinguished Research Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University
- Shuja Nawaz, Director, South Asia Center, Atlantic Council
1:00 – 1:20 pm Lunch
1:20 – 2:30 pm Luncheon Conversation
What are potential disruptions in the US-Asia and Europe-Asia relationships that could affect trade and security? What could be the impacts?
What will the future of trade look like between the United States and Asia? Europe and Asia? How will trade dependencies and balances change? How is technology changing this balance?
SUMMARY | TRANSCRIPT | VIDEO
Moderator: Damon Wilson, Executive Vice President, Atlantic Council (@DamonMacWilson)
- Kurt Campbell, Chairman and CEO, The Asia Group
2:45 – 4:00 pm Global Trade Agenda
How will the US and Europe compete with Asian technological innovation? Will they be competing with each other by 2025? What is the future of EU-ASEAN relations?
Regional trade liberalization, including RCEP, and its impact on Europe and the US?
Moderator: Paula Stern, Founder and Chair, The Stern Group; Board Director, Atlantic Council (@SternGroupDC)
- Annette Heuser, Executive Director, Bertelsmann Foundation (@AnnetteHeuser)
- Damien Levie, Minister Counselor and Head,Trade Section, Delegation of the European Union to the United States
- Jeffrey J. Schott, Senior Fellow, Peterson Institute for International Economics
- Kanji Yamanouchi, Minister, Economic Affairs, Embassy of Japan
4:05 – 5:00 pm A New Model of Greater Power Relations?
Is ‘great power relations’ a useful construct for understanding the relationship between the United States, Europe, and Asia? How do Japan, Europe, India, and Russia fit into that construct?
Can we have a new model or is China’s behavior forcing a tipping point?
Is the rest of the world pivoting to Asia and do we need even more shifts from the US and Europe?
Moderator: Barry Pavel, Vice President and Director, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security, Atlantic Council
- Michael Green, Senior Vice President for Asia and Japan Chair, Center for Strategic and International Studies
- John Negroponte, Brady-Johnson Distinguished Fellow in Grand Strategy and Senior Lecturer in International Affairs,Jackson Institute for Global Affairs, Yale University; Vice Chairman, McLarty Associates
- Kori Schake, Research Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University