Content

New Atlanticist

Oct 25, 2024

Israel’s attack in Iran means full-scale war is closer than ever. Here’s what Iran is thinking now.

By Danny Citrinowicz  

Iran's leaders fear a full-scale war with Israel, but can they absorb this attack without retaliating and thus be exposed to future attacks?

Conflict Iran

IranSource

Oct 24, 2024

Iran targeted human rights sanctions series: Can children of Iranian officials be designated?

By Holly Dagres, Celeste Kmiotek, Lisandra Novo

Children of Iranian officials might be impacted by targeted human rights designations, but only through strict sanctions enforcement and investigation and only where there is political will.

Economic Sanctions Human Rights

MENASource

Oct 24, 2024

Tragic death of aid worker underscores Gaza’s postwar challenge

By Alicia Nieves

The international community has long been criticized for its inaction as Hamas gradually tightened its control over NGOs and civil institutions.

Conflict Israel

MENASource

Oct 23, 2024

Balancing a culture of secrecy and collaboration: Information sharing with hostage families

By Liz Cathcart

US policies enshrine a requirement for intelligence sharing between the US government and hostage families.

China Conflict

Podcast

Oct 23, 2024

Sledgehammer: The Wagner cult in Syria

By Alia Brahimi

In Season 2, Episode 6 of the Guns for Hire podcast, host Alia Brahimi chats with defense researcher Jack Margolin about his new book on the Wagner Group. They focus on its operations in support of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and the country’s central place within the Wagner subculture. They also discuss the ever-present profit motive […]

Conflict Crisis Management

Econographics

Oct 22, 2024

A crack in the BRICS: Iran’s economic challenges take center stage at Russia’s summit 

By Josh Lipsky, Alisha Chhangani

The reality is that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian will show up to the BRICS leaders meeting and look for support across the BRICS not only in the military domain, but also for his country’s economy.

Economic Sanctions Economy & Business

Report

Oct 22, 2024

The economic and social costs of the war in Gaza

By Perrihan Al-Riffai

After a year of war, Israel, the Palestinian territories, and neighboring countries need a permanent ceasefire. But with development gains erased, billions of dollars in infrastructure damaged, and skyrocketing unemployment, the Middle East also urgently needs a solid reconstruction plan.

Conflict Israel

MENASource

Oct 22, 2024

Israel versus Hezbollah: Not a full-scale war—yet

By Nicholas Blanford

The Israeli army appears to have absorbed some of the lessons of its troubled 2006 experience fighting against Hezbollah.

Conflict Lebanon

In the News

Oct 22, 2024

Braw in Foreign Policy on Russia’s infamous arms dealer Viktor Bout’s connection with the Houthis

By Elisabeth Braw

On October 22, Transatlantic Security Initiative senior fellow Elisabeth Braw wrote an op-ed in Foreign Policy discussing Russia’s infamous arm dealer Viktor Bout’s connections with the Houthis in Yemen.

Arms Control Europe & Eurasia

EnergySource

Oct 21, 2024

Despite panicked markets, Israel is unlikely to attack Iranian oil facilities

By Ellen Wald

Israeli officials have promised “significant retaliation” in response to Iran’s October 1 attack and have hinted that they could target Iran’s oil infrastructure. However, the likelihood of such an attack is quite low due to several technical, economic, and geopolitical factors.

Energy & Environment Geopolitics & Energy Security

Experts

Events