• Medvedev's Message

    Germany will be either a world power or it will not be at all. - Adolf Hitler, Mein Kampf, 1925.

    Russia can either be big and strong or it will cease to exist. - Dmitry Medvedev, speech to senior military officers, The Kremlin, September 30, 2008.

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  • Melting the Russian Glacier

    Polish foreign minister Radoslaw Sikorski, speaking at the Atlantic Council today, declared that Russia's justification for invading Georgia, that it was defending its friends abroad, is one that has been used by Russian autocrats for centuries to justify a doctrine of imperialism.
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  • The Iskander Effect

    Nicolas Sarkozy and Dmitry Medvedev

    Russian President Dmitri Medvedev told the Federal Assembly on November 5 that he will deploy SS-26 Iskander short-range semi-ballistic missiles in the heart of Central Europe.

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  • Polls: Foreign Policy Priorities & Russia Relations

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  • The Case for Keeping the Russians In

    NATO allies should construct a new relationship with Russia, so that mutual challenges and threats faced by both sides can be addressed more effectively. By keeping Russia as an auxiliary partner in the international security environment, Western powers expend tireless effort competing with the Russians on issues ranging from North Korea and Iran, to missile defense and NATO expansion.

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  • The Kaliningrad Missile Crisis

    The Kaliningrad Missile Crisis

    The Kremlin's latest move to deploy missiles in Kaliningrad is the first time since the Cold War that Russia has "declared its intention to create a military threat to the West." Yet the nature of the threat does not represent a fundamental challenge to U.S. or European security and has been largely overblown on both sides.

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  • Russia and $50 Oil

    Russia Oil Tanks

    Oil prices have plummeted in recent weeks, hitting a 20-month low of $59 per barrel, a 60 percent drop-off from its summer high of $147.  One might reasonably think that this would be crippling to a country like Russia, which relies so heavily on energy exports to stake its claim to major power status. 

    The Troika Dialog team, though, argues that it's much more complicated than that.

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  • NATO Must Recognize Russia's New Role

    Following its actions in Georgia, which gained the attention of many observers in the West, Russia has continued efforts to assert its influence in the region by, most recently, exploring possible solutions to the frozen conflict between Moldova and the separatist region of Trans-Dniester.

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  • Business as Usual with Russia

    There was good and bad news last week about western efforts to end Russian aggression against Georgia.  Good was that international donors pledged $4.5 billion to help repair the damage Russia inflicted upon Georgia during the hot phase of the war.  Bad was that the European Commission and the French Presidency of the European Union backed resumption of talks on the EU-Russia Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (PCA). 

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  • Russia and Iran's Proposed Gas Cartel

    Russia and Iran

    Russia’s Gazprom recently announced plans for the formation of a ‘gas troika’ along with Iran and Qatar. Initially proposed by Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in 2007, the development has raised fears in the West that a gas cartel will destabilize energy supplies and pose a security threat to Europe.

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