Inflection Points with Frederick Kempe podcast

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Inflection Points Today

Dec 21, 2024

The Middle East’s shifting balance of power favors Turkey and Israel

By Frederick Kempe

Syria’s future is uncertain after the fall of the Assad regime, but already it’s clear that two neighboring countries are big winners.

Conflict Israel

Inflection Points

Dec 18, 2024

The stage is set for Trump’s global leadership moment

By Frederick Kempe

The lightning-like fall of the Assad regime in Syria reveals larger weaknesses in Russia and Iran. These weaknesses present the incoming president with three historic opportunities.

China Lebanon

Inflection Points Today

Dec 13, 2024

Monitoring the global ‘Trump effect’

By Frederick Kempe

The incoming president is already making waves in China, Iran, Ukraine, and NATO as he articulates goals and the world responds to them.

China Europe & Eurasia

Inflection Points Today

Dec 11, 2024

Trump’s ‘deep state’ dilemma

By Frederick Kempe

In this more perilous world, the incoming president will need to lean on the proven patriots in intelligence whom he has disparaged in the past.

Intelligence Politics & Diplomacy

Inflection Points

Dec 5, 2024

Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize opportunity in Ukraine

By Frederick Kempe

Stopping Russia’s aggression in Ukraine will be Trump 2.0’s first test and opportunity, one that will have far-reaching consequences.

Conflict Peacekeeping and Peacebuilding

Inflection Points

Nov 23, 2024

Biden’s Ukraine moves are a gift to Trump

By Frederick Kempe

The outgoing administration is “emptying the barrel,” which could improve the incoming president’s chances at negotiating a deal worth having.

Conflict Nuclear Deterrence

Inflection Points

Nov 20, 2024

Dispatch from the desert: Trump’s first global test is Iran

By Frederick Kempe

Iran hasn’t been this weak in decades. But does the US president-elect sense this opportunity and want to explore whether a major deal is possible?

Iran Israel

Inflection Points Today

Nov 14, 2024

China’s advances in Latin America should concern Trump

By Frederick Kempe

As Chinese leader Xi Jinping and US President Joe Biden visit Peru and Brazil this week, the contrast between the US and Chinese approaches to the region is stark.

China Economy & Business

Inflection Points

Nov 13, 2024

Trump is inheriting a more dangerous world

By Frederick Kempe

China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran are coordinating in unprecedented ways, posing new challenges to the incoming US president.

China Iran

Inflection Points

Nov 4, 2024

This should be atop the next US president’s reading list

By Frederick Kempe

A new essay by former National Security Advisor Stephen Hadley provides an important contribution at the early stages of a new geopolitical era.

Elections Politics & Diplomacy