Six months into Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the war seems to have hit a stalemate. After a successful defense against Russia’s blitzkrieg and some losses to Russian artillery in the east, Ukraine is putting its new Western weapons to use against key Russian targets beyond the frontlines and says it is preparing for a major counteroffensive in southern Ukraine. Meanwhile, the standoff at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant could result in a major nuclear catastrophe in Europe.
Despite some high-profile successes, including recent hits in Crimea, does Ukraine have a clear path to liberating occupied territories? If Russia follows through on its threats to stage faux referenda and illegally annex Ukrainian territories, what impact will that have on the war? Is Russia holding the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant hostage to force the West to concede on supplying arms to Ukraine? More broadly, is the conflict heading towards a stalemate, or is there a breakthrough on the horizon for Ukraine?
Melinda Haring, deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center, moderates a conversation with Max Boot, Jeane J. Kirkpatrick Senior Fellow in National Security Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, Gen. (Ret.) Philip Breedlove, former Supreme Allied Commander Europe, Dara Massicot, senior policy researcher at the RAND Corporation, Vivian Salama, national security correspondent at the Wall Street Journal, and Andriy Zagorodnyuk, former minister of defense of Ukraine, distinguished fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center, and chairman of the Centre for Defense Strategies.
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Europe in crisis
War in Ukraine
In February 2022, Moscow launched an all-out invasion of Ukraine after a months-long military build-up, threatening the country’s sovereignty and its future. This existential moment for the country follows the 2014 Maidan revolution, a nexus for Ukraine’s Europe-focused foreign policy and reform efforts. The ensuing Russian invasion and occupation of Crimea, aggression in Ukraine’s east, and Kremlin disinformation efforts, cast a shadow over Ukraine’s independence.
UkraineAlert Jan 4, 2024
To defeat Putin in a long war, Ukraine must switch to active defense in 2024
By embracing a strategy of active defense in 2024, Kyiv can achieve the twin goals of preventing any major Russian advances and creating conditions that strongly favor Ukraine in what is increasingly a war of attrition, writes Mykola Bielieskov.
UkraineAlert Jan 2, 2024
Ukraine’s wartime economy is performing surprisingly well
By Anders Åslund
The Ukrainian government is to be congratulated for its considerable accomplishments on the economic front while defending itself against Europe’s largest invasion since World War II, writes Anders Åslund.
UkraineAlert Dec 21, 2023
Putin scents historic victory amid growing signs of Western weakness
By Peter Dickinson
Recent indications of growing Russian confidence in victory over Ukraine owe much more to Western weakness than to the Kremlin’s own military might, writes Peter Dickinson.