On August 27, Scowcroft Center acting director Matthew Kroenig published an essay in Foreign Policy on how IR theory suggests great-power war is coming.

For decades, international relations theory provided reasons for optimism—that the major powers could enjoy mostly cooperative relations and resolve their differences short of armed conflict… Unfortunately, nearly all of these pacifying forces appear to be unraveling before our eyes. The major driving forces of international politics, according to IR theory, suggest that the new Cold War among the United States, China, and Russia is unlikely to be peaceful.

Matthew Kroenig

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