Moscow’s war on Ukraine has always been about a lot more than just the fight on the battlefield. Ukraine has been able to prevent Russia’s seizure of Kyiv and Kharkiv and to take back more than 50% of Russian-conquered territory in part because of strong Western military, political and economic support led by the US. The past month has introduced several new factors in this multidimensional struggle. On land, Ukraine’s counteroffensive has only liberated several hundred square kilometers, which has led many commentators to talk about a stalemate. But at sea, Ukraine has driven the Russian Black Sea fleet out of Sevastopol and are sheltering in the eastern Black Sea. And using the shorter-range ATACMS that the US supplied this fall, Ukraine destroyed over 20 Russian helicopters in Berdyansk and Luhansk.
But in Washington, a small group in the Republican House caucus was able to prevent the inclusion of aid to Ukraine in the Continuing Resolution for government spending passed September 30. That was followed by the removal of Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House and his replacement by Mike Johnson. While the new Speaker has said that the US must not leave Ukraine in the lurch and that he would put a bill on aid to Ukraine up for a vote, he has also said that aid for Israel must be considered separately. In contrast, President Biden and Senators Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer are pushing for a single aid bill for Ukraine and Israel (and Taiwan).
The Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center hosts a discussion on the current state of the Ukrainian counteroffensive, the Russian counterstrike at Avdiivka, and the prospects in Washington for Ukraine aid.
General (ret.) Wesley Clark
Former Supreme Allied Commander Europe
Ambassador John Herbst
Senior Director, Eurasia Center
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Europe in crisis
War in Ukraine
In February 2022, Moscow launched an all-out invasion of Ukraine after a months-long military build-up, threatening the country’s sovereignty and its future. This existential moment for the country follows the 2014 Maidan revolution, a nexus for Ukraine’s Europe-focused foreign policy and reform efforts. The ensuing Russian invasion and occupation of Crimea, aggression in Ukraine’s east, and Kremlin disinformation efforts, cast a shadow over Ukraine’s independence.
UkraineAlert Sep 27, 2023
Ukraine’s counteroffensive is making real progress on the Crimean front
By Peter Dickinson
Ukraine’s escalating attacks in Crimea are steadily undermining Russia’s invasion and are a reminder that the Ukrainian counteroffensive is not limited to the relatively static front lines of the war, writes Peter Dickinson.
UkraineAlert Sep 20, 2023
Zelenskyy tells United Nations: Russia is committing genocide in Ukraine
By Taras Kuzio
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told the UN this week that Russia is committing genocide in Ukraine. Efforts to legally prove genocidal intent will likely focus on the genocidal rhetoric of Putin and other Russian leaders, writes Taras Kuzio.
The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting policies that strengthen stability, democratic values, and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe in the West to the Caucasus, Russia, and Central Asia in the East.
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