Jonathan D. Moyer is a nonresident senior fellow in the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s Scowcroft Strategy Initiative. Jonathan builds data and quantitative tools to research the future of human and social development. His work focuses on dynamics associated with human development and civil conflict, both working to improve our ability to predict onset and also understand the effect of conflict on patterns of development. Jonathan has also led efforts to build data and models to better understand the future structure of the international system, analyzing patterns of global power and influence across time. His work has contributed to various global policy debates, including in organizations like the United Nations and the African Union Development Agency.

Jonathan has been the Lead Principal Investigator on more than $15 million in sponsored research and has published in top journals like World Development, Journal of Peace Research, British Journal of Political Science, and Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Jonathan is co-author on two books and various policy-related publications as well. He is an assistant professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies at the University of Denver and director of the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures.