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EconoGraphics

Feb 6, 2019

A Breakdown of the Sanctions Deal between the United States and Oleg Deripaska

By Ole Moehr | Graphics by Shiqing Hua and Zachary Coles

On January 16, a US Senate resolution to maintain US sanctions on the Russian aluminum giant RUSAL and its holding company EN+ failed to garner the necessary 60 votes to pass. As a result, the Trump administration lifted its economic sanctions on RUSAL and EN+ on January 27.

Economic Sanctions Economy & Business

Blogs

Dec 21, 2018

Economic Outlook for 2019

By Global Business & Economics Program

December 2018 is set to become the worst year-end finish for US markets since 1931. A yield curve inversion combined with the fourth annual rate hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and growing geo-political uncertainty, triggered widespread angst among US investors about an economic slowdown and the increasing probability of a recession. This edition of the EconoGraphic assesses key economic indicators to make a case that while a slowing of the US economy seems certain, a recession in the next two years remains unlikely.

China Economy & Business

EconoGraphics

Dec 5, 2018

Trade Disrupted: US and China Need More Than a Truce

By Ole Moehr

At this year’s G20 summit in Buenos Aires, the trade dispute between China and the United States took center stage. Chinese President Xi and his US counterpart President Donald Trump agreed to avoid further escalations of the ongoing bilateral trade war for the next 90 days. The temporary deal does not assuage the escalatory measures already taken, leaving the existing tariffs in place. This edition of the EconoGraphic explores how the brewing trade conflict is impacting manufacturing supply chains, soybean cargo routes, and trade flows of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) among the United States, China, and the rest of the world.

China Economic Sanctions

Ole Moehr is a nonresident fellow and consultant with the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center. Previously, he served as the GeoEconomics Center’s associate director. In Moehr’s current capacity, he contributes to the center’s future of money work and conducts research on global finance, growth, and trade. As lead editor of the center’s Global QE Tracker, which visualizes central banks’ complex responses to the different economic shocks in the post-COVID world, Moehr helps deliver the Atlantic Council’s timely take on important issues pertaining to the global economy. Moehr’s project portfolio includes work on global monetary policy, central bank digital currencies, global value chains, the European Union’s economic architecture, and economic sanctions. His analysis and commentary have been featured in Axios, the New York Times, and Euronews, among others.

Prior to joining the Council, Moehr served as a Brent Scowcroft Award fellow at the Aspen Institute. He holds a master’s degree in international economics from the George Washington University’s Elliott School of International Affairs and a bachelor’s degree in global governance and public policy from the University of Passau in Germany.