“It would be hard to pick a December in memory when we were concerned about so many risks,” said Barry Pavel, director of the Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security at the Atlantic Council, a Washington policy group.
Oil price declines also won’t help Nigeria, already struggling to contain the Boko Haram Islamist movement. Africa’s largest crude producer is particularly vulnerable right now, said Peter Pham, director of the Africa Center at the Atlantic Council, a Washington policy group.
The U.S.’s ability to confront global risks would be hampered if the 2016 presidential campaign, which gathers steam next year, “panders to the growing public fatigue with the country’s global responsibilities,” said Mathew Burrows, Director of the Strategic Foresight Initiative at the Atlantic Council. “Wild cards abound in such an increasingly disorderly world.”