International Business Times quotes Africa Center Director J. Peter Pham on his predictions regarding the upcoming elections in Ivory Coast:

The president of Ivory Coast is elected by an absolute majority through a two-round system to serve a five-year term. The date of the first round of voting has been set for Sunday, and a second round will be scheduled should it be necessary. Only the two candidates with the largest number of votes in the first round proceed to the second round.

“The only question in my mind is whether this [election] is done in the first round or requires two rounds. But the result is pretty obvious,” said J. Peter Pham, director of the Africa Center at the Atlantic Council, a think tank in Washington, D.C., who predicted a victory for Ouattara.

[…]

“The real danger of violence is from not so much that the election will be stolen,” Pham said during a telephone interview. “It’s the possibility of people who don’t have a hope of winning going to extreme measures to grab what they want, or at least try to stir up trouble.”

Read the full article here.

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