On February 16, Forward Defense Nonresident Senior Fellow Nicholas Eftimiades published an article in TIME magazine to discuss the reasons China may have deployed a spy balloon over the United States and the implications for the relationship between the two countries. Eftimiades suggested that the balloon may have been designed to intercept high frequency radio communications or satellite downlink data.
Beijing badly miscalculated by violating US airspace, particularly on the eve of Secretary of State Blinken’s visit.

Forward Defense leads the Atlantic Council’s US and global defense programming, developing actionable recommendations for the United States and its allies and partners to compete, innovate, and navigate the rapidly evolving character of warfare. Through its work on US defense policy and force design, the military applications of advanced technology, space security, strategic deterrence, and defense industrial revitalization, it informs the strategies, policies, and capabilities that the United States will need to deter, and, if necessary, prevail in major-power conflict.