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Econographics

Jan 25, 2024

Expect Chinese economic retaliation against Taiwan after the DPP’s presidential victory

By Hung Tran

Economic coercion will allow China to increase pressure on Taiwan without directly confronting the US and leave significant leeway to calibrate trade measures.

China Economic Sanctions
Mumbai economy with skyscrapers in the distance

Econographics

Jan 24, 2024

The advanced consumer economy driving India’s ascent

By Josh Lipsky, Sophia Busch

By 2030, India could become the world’s third-largest economy. Here’s how the rise of powerful consumers within the country is creating a massive new domestic and international market.

India International Markets
Dedollorization and RMB internationalization

Econographics

Jan 22, 2024

Dedollarization is not just geopolitics, economic fundamentals matter

By Niels Graham, Hung Tran

Geopolitical explanations have dominated recent analysis on dedollorization. While it is certainly a key factor, macroeconomics matter as well. US interest rates and a rising dollar are encouraging other countries to search for alternatives.

Brazil China

Econographics

Jan 19, 2024

The IMF’s perspective on CBDCs

By Tobias Adrian

Tobias Adrian outlines the IMF’s view on CBDCs’ potential for payment systems, financial inclusion, and cross-border payments, emphasizing innovation and collaboration for effective implementation.

Digital Currencies Digital Policy
China, In the center of the capital in a new commercial building construction

Econographics

Jan 10, 2024

China’s local government debts are coming due

By Jeremy Mark

China’s economic slowdown brings local government debts into sharp focus, threatening infrastructure and social services.

China Economy & Business
The view of boats on the red Sea.

Econographics

Jan 8, 2024

The long shadow of the Red Sea shipping disruption

By Alex Mills

Recent attacks on shipping moving through the red sea have exposed broader risks around international maritime commerce. Policy makers must use this wake-up call to build a more resilient international shipping ecosystem.

East Africa Economy & Business

Econographics

Jan 3, 2024

Five under-the-radar economic trends that could define 2024

By Josh Lipsky, Sophia Busch

We picked five under-the-radar trends that will matter for the global economy in 2024. Each shows the potential weak spots in the global economy alongside the forces that could stabilize growth.

China Economy & Business
Building with EU flags

Econographics

Dec 19, 2023

Three next steps for the EU’s approach to economic security

By Elmar Hellendoorn

The EU’s Strategy on Economic Security, published this summer, was the first official effort to present a more coherent view on the European policy approach at the intersection of economics and geopolitics. In the end, however, the EU’s approach to economic security can only be successful if it is tied to Europe’s long-term political objectives.

Economic Sanctions European Union
Ships on Red Sea

Econographics

Dec 18, 2023

What attacks in the Red Sea could mean for the global economy

By Hung Tran

Recent missile attacks on ships in the Red Sea by Iran-backed Houthi rebels have escalated regional tensions and disrupted global trade. Large shipping companies are now avoiding the route, causing significant costs and delays, which is impacting the the already fragile economy.

Economy & Business International Markets

Econographics

Dec 11, 2023

China’s manufacturing overcapacity threatens global green goods trade

By Niels Graham

Chinese lending is exacerbating a growing glut in its green manufacturing sector. Beijing is increasingly looking abroad to absorb excess capacity. This may have devastating effects for the global trading system as economies move to protect their own domestic industry.

China Economy & Business

Content

Econographics

Feb 27, 2024

Future-proofing the World Trade Organization

By Penny Naas

During the WTO's 13th Ministerial Conference in Abu Dhabi, ministers must make progress on the WTO's negotiations and dispute settlement processes.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Feb 22, 2024

Chinese exports have replaced the EU as the lifeline of Russia’s economy

By Niels Graham

Two years after the initial invasion, Russia’s imports have stabilized. New industrial and consumer exports from from China have replaced trade from the US, EU, and G7.

China Economic Sanctions
Construction site and excavation

Econographics

Feb 22, 2024

“Connector economies” and the fractured state of foreign direct investment

By Hung Tran

Most attention has been focused on the fragmentation of world trade. But fragmentation can be observed in the flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) as well. And, like trade, the picture is nuanced: Global FDI flow has fallen as a share of GDP, but a handful of countries have seen an influx.

China International Markets

Econographics

Feb 16, 2024

Youth unemployment in China: New metric, same mess

By Nicole Goldin

The youth labor induced weakening of Chinese productivity and growth has the potential to impact youth labor markets worldwide.

China Economy & Business
Brazil, Corn, Agriculture, Food Security, G20, COP30, Global South

Econographics

Feb 14, 2024

Brazil aims to advance its bid for leadership of the Global South through food security

By Josh Lipsky, Mrugank Bhusari

If Brazil delivers tangible benefits on food security through its Presidency of the G20 and COP30, it will cement its position as a key leader of the Global South.

Brazil Economy & Business

Econographics

Feb 13, 2024

The IRA and CHIPS Act are supercharging US manufacturing construction

By Niels Graham

The IRA and CHIPS Act are driving a new construction boom of American manufactures to build the next generation of facilities to produce electronics and green goods for the energy transition

Economy & Business Energy Transitions

Econographics

Feb 9, 2024

China’s stock market collapse is the end of the road for many foreign investors

By Jeremy Mark

The long-running collapse of Chinese stocks has wiped out trillions of investment dollars and delivered another blow to an economy beset by property crisis, slow growth, and deflation, and has added uncertainty about Beijing’s very support for money-making.

China Economy & Business
Person pointing at screen

Econographics

Feb 8, 2024

Is the EU missing another tech wave with AI?

By Ryan Murphy

Policymakers in the United States and European Union view generative AI as one of the technological “commanding heights” of the coming decade. Are EU startups falling behind on funding?

Digital Policy European Union
Grain market in Africa with sellers

Econographics

Feb 1, 2024

Why 2024 will be a big year for positive economic statecraft

By Nicole Goldin

As geopolitics cast a shadow on the global economy, leaders are looking to build resilience, advance inclusive growth, and promote stability and security. Three January events already showcase that these positive economic statecraft (PES) approaches are clearly in effect this year.

Fiscal and Structural Reform Inclusive Growth

Econographics

Feb 1, 2024

Is China decelerating or recovering?

By Daniel Rosen

Rhodium Group predicts a modest recovery for China in 2024, a contrast to previous deceleration, contingent on Beijing's structural reforms and credible policy shifts.

China Economy & Business