Content

Report

Jan 6, 2017

The outlook for energy under a Trump Administration: Major volatility ahead

By David L. Goldwyn

Oil, gas, and renewable energy markets will face high levels of uncertainty and potentially extreme volatility under a Trump administration in 2017. What are these uncertainties and their potential impacts in policy areas such as trade, conflict, climate change, and energy?

Energy & Environment Energy Markets & Governance

Report

Jan 6, 2017

Key risks companies face in petroleum investment and operations

By Bud Coote and Karl V. Hopkins

Risk and uncertainty pervade decisions on petroleum investments and operations, raising the stakes for companies committing to multibillion dollar contracts often extending twenty or more years. The array of risk factors is diverse, requiring multidisciplinary analysis to decipher. What are the lessons learned from a variety of experiences and some risk mitigation options?

Energy & Environment Oil and Gas

Global Energy Forum

Jan 6, 2017

Downstream oil theft: Global modalities, trends, and remedies

By Ian M. Ralby

Hydrocarbons crime, in all its forms, has become a significant threat not only to local and regional prosperity but also to global stability and security. Combating this pervasive criminal activity is made only more difficult by the reality that many of those in a position to curb hydrocarbons crime are the ones benefiting from it.

Energy & Environment Oil and Gas

Report

Jan 6, 2017

The end of Saudi Arabia’s addiction to oil: Downstream industrial development

By Jean-Francois Seznec

Saudi Arabia’s leadership recently introduced an ambitious plan called Vision 2030 to move the country away from oil and toward a more diversified, modern economy. What are the existing downstream industries in the public and private sectors, and what has made them so successful thus far?

Energy & Environment Energy Transitions

Report

Jan 6, 2017

India’s energy needs and the Arab/Persian Gulf

By Jean-François Seznec

India has tried to diversify its sources of crude oil, but due to its proximity to the Gulf, it still relies a great deal on Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Iraq as its major suppliers, while Qatar provides most of its natural gas needs. What is the present crude oil and natural gas situation in India and the role played by the Gulf producers, especially Iran and Saudi Arabia?

Energy & Environment India

Report

Jan 3, 2017

Cyber and Deterrence

By Franklin D. Kramer, Robert J. Butler, and Catherine Lotrionte

Last year, the Barack Obama administration issued PPD-41, “Cyber Incident Protection,” setting forth cyber security incident roles and missions for federal agencies but with no explicit reference to the Department of Defense (DoD). By contrast, the DoD Cyber Strategy provides that DoD will be prepared to “defend the U.S. homeland and U.S. vital interests from […]

Cybersecurity English

Report

Dec 21, 2016

Global Energy Debates and the Eastern Mediterranean

By Ayla Gürel Moran, Harry Tzimitras, and Hubert Faustmann

Read the Publication (PDF) In the Eastern Mediterranean, which is characterised more by conflict than cooperation, persistent conscious effort is needed to minimise the effects of narrow-minded populism or politicisation of issues. Such attitudes are particularly unhelpful when it comes to realising the potential of the region’s hydrocarbons through solutions that are optimal both commercially […]

Report

Dec 7, 2016

Eritrea’s economy: Ideology and opportunity

By Seth Kaplan

Eritrea is often in the news for all the wrong reasons: its high rates of migration to Europe (it has sent more refugees to Europe in recent years than any other African nation), its conflicts with neighboring Ethiopia and Djibouti, and controversy over its mandatory and indefinite national service conscription program. Human rights activists, in […]

Africa East Africa

Report

Dec 6, 2016

Evaluating Western Sanctions on Russia

By Sergey Aleksashenko

It has been more than two years since the European Union (EU) and the United States imposed economic sanctions on Russia for its aggression in Ukraine. For some of the measures that is time enough to evaluate effectiveness. “The sanctions’ greatest achievement is that they have been an important demonstration of transatlantic unity. Still, there […]

Conflict Defense Policy

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

Dec 6, 2016

A measured US strategy for the new Africa

By Dr. J. Peter Pham

Africa’s story is increasingly one of economic dynamism that is driven, in part, by political reform and improvements in governance. But, there are also very real security, humanitarian, and developmental challenges that remain to be confronted. The United States has a stake in helping to tackle these challenges, not least because it is in its own national interest to do so.

Africa East Africa