Content

Scorecard

Aug 28, 2023

Scowcroft scorecard: NATO’s Vilnius communiqué embarks on a new era of deterrence, but punts on key decisions

By Atlantic Council

During the 2023 NATO Summit in Vilnius, heads of state and government issued a 90-paragraph communiqué, outlining key priorities for NATO in the coming term. Did allies succeed in addressing today’s threats while accounting for tomorrow’s challenges? Experts from the Atlantic Council’s Transatlantic Security Initiative weigh in on the Summit declaration.

Defense Policy Europe & Eurasia

In the News

Aug 26, 2023

Garlauskas quoted globally on new report

This week, Markus Garlauskas’ commentary on the risks of simultaneous conflict and limited nuclear attacks in East Asia, recently published in his new longform report, have been featured in US publications RealClear Defense and Daily Press as well as across international media outlets, including Newtalk, Sky News, MGROnline, and Defence Connect.

China Crisis Management

Report

Aug 16, 2023

The United States and its allies must be ready to deter a two-front war and nuclear attacks in East Asia

By Markus Garlauskas

This report highlights two emerging and interrelated deterrence challenges in East Asia with grave risks to US national security: 1) Horizontal escalation of a conflict with China or North Korea into simultaneous conflict; 2) Vertical escalation to a limited nuclear attack by either or both adversaries to avoid conceding.

Arms Control China

Issue Brief

Aug 16, 2023

Biases blind us to the risk of Chinese military intervention in Korea

By Jonathan Corrado

This paper examines the historical record of cognitive biases, focusing on the US intelligence community’s failure to forecast PRC intervention in the Korean War, despite collecting information and evidence indicative of that outcome.

Arms Control China

UkraineAlert

Aug 10, 2023

F-16 delays leave Ukraine exposed to deadly Russian air superiority

By Olivia Yanchik

A clear commitment to send Ukraine a fleet of F-16s would do much to repair the damage to Western credibility caused by earlier delays. Crucially, it could also save countless Ukrainian lives, writes Olivia Yanchik.

Conflict Defense Technologies

UkraineAlert

Aug 8, 2023

Odesa urgently needs an air defense upgrade as Russia escalates airstrikes

By Michael Bociurkiw

Ukrainian Black Sea port Odesa has recently been hit by a series of Russian air attacks that have caused devastation in the city's UNESCO-listed historic center and highlighted the need for improved air defenses, writes Michael Bociurkiw.

Conflict Infrastructure Protection

UkraineAlert

Aug 7, 2023

Ukraine’s slow counteroffensive is a wake-up call for the West

By Maksym Skrypchenko

Ukraine’s lack of counteroffensive progress over the past two months should serve as a wake-up call for Western leaders. Their response will shape the geopolitical landscape for decades to come, writes Maksym Skrypchenko.

Conflict Defense Policy

In the News

Aug 5, 2023

Soofer on Voice of America Korea discussing US-Korea-Japan security cooperation

By Atlantic Council

Rob Soofer speaks on trilateral security cooperation between US, Korea, and Japan to deter North Korea and China

Indo-Pacific Japan

In the News

Jul 28, 2023

Novak in NPR and Semafor

On July 26, IPSI and GCH nonresident fellow Parker Novak was featured in NPR for his New Atlanticist piece on Blinken’s visit to Tonga. In this NPR article, Novak is quoted explaining, “It [the United States] needs to continue showing up and demonstrate that it values partnerships with Pacific nations not just because of their […]

China Climate Change & Climate Action

In the News

Jul 26, 2023

Cooper in Politico on NATO’s push to equip Ukraine with F-16s

By Atlantic Council

Conflict Defense Policy

Experts