Russia has massed over 100,000 troops on or near Ukraine’s borders for months. At the same time, it has demanded negotiations with the United States and European powers with a view towards receiving legal guarantees that NATO will not expand any further and that there will be no deployment of NATO weapons on territory that joined NATO after the end of the Cold War.
Andriy Yermak is a key part of Ukraine’s diplomatic efforts, including in conversations with the United States, and frequently engages with high-level diplomats at the White House and the US Department of State. He joins the Atlantic Council’s Ambassador John Herbst, senior director of the Eurasia Center, for a conversation about the current heightened situation along Ukraine’s borders. What role can the Biden administration play alongside its NATO allies in supporting Ukrainian sovereignty? How does the Office of the President of Ukraine interpret the outcome of this week’s series of high-stakes meetings? And what challenges does Ukraine see in dealing with this combination of Moscow’s ongoing war in Donbas and its threat of a major escalation?
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Russian aggression in Ukraine
Europe in crisis
Since the start of conflict in Ukraine’s east in 2014, diplomatic efforts to end the violence are still punctuated by episodes of military confrontation. In 2021, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that if an easy solution to the war existed, someone would have found it already. With more than 1.4 million people displaced and over 13,000 dead, the Normandy Format discussions have made little progress. In 2021, over 100,000 Russian military forces amassed on Ukraine’s border and in occupied Crimea, escalating tensions and leading to a series of high-stakes talks in early 2022.
Inflection Points Jan 23, 2022
Putin is threatening not just Ukraine but post-Cold War principles. And the stakes are generational.
Unless Biden can shift the tide, Putin will continue his long campaign to reverse the post-Cold War principles under which countries in the world navigate the future together.
UkraineAlert Jan 23, 2022
Ukraine Crisis: Putin the gambler may have gone too far to back down
By Timothy Ash
Russian President Vladimir Putin has gained the world’s attention with his threat to launch a full-scale invasion of Ukraine but he may now feel he must act or risk a serious loss of credibility on the international stage.
New Atlanticist Jan 21, 2022
What if Russia invades Ukraine (again)? Consider these options for sanctions escalation.
By Brian O’Toole, Daniel Fried
Whatever Putin’s intentions, the Kremlin’s anti-Ukrainian propaganda has not been so loud since 2014. The United States and its allies need to respond in order to prevent a major military escalation at worst and at least blunt Putin’s effort to gain political advantage through intimidation.
The Eurasia Center’s mission is to enhance transatlantic cooperation in promoting stability, democratic values and prosperity in Eurasia, from Eastern Europe and Turkey in the West to the Caucasus, Russia and Central Asia in the East.