We are at a critical point in Russia’s war in Ukraine. Vital American assistance to Ukraine is stalled in the US House of Representatives, and there is growing uniformed talk both about a stalemate on the battlefield and the need to consider negotiations.

Russian forces remain entrenched along the front lines in hotly contested towns such as Avdiivka, which remain the scene of significant attritional battles. Although advances by its army have been limited, at sea Ukraine has broken the Black Sea blockade and successfully driven the Russian Black Sea fleet out of Sevastopol. The recent arrival of shorter-range ATACMS missiles has also led to Ukrainian success in striking Russian military bases, airfields and in slowly making Crimea untenable for the Russian army.