On August 6, Matthew Kroenig spoke on a televised panel hosted on NHK World-Japan. Dr. Kroenig covered the risks of nuclear escalation due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the implications of China’s nuclear build up, and the evolution of US nuclear posture.
I think the risk is low, but not zero. I have been saying maybe a 10% chance that Putin uses nuclear weapons…from his point of view using nuclear weapons would be more attractive than losing the war in Ukraine.
Forward Defense leads the Atlantic Council’s US and global defense programming, developing actionable recommendations for the United States and its allies and partners to compete, innovate, and navigate the rapidly evolving character of warfare. Through its work on US defense policy and force design, the military applications of advanced technology, space security, strategic deterrence, and defense industrial revitalization, it informs the strategies, policies, and capabilities that the United States will need to deter, and, if necessary, prevail in major-power conflict.
