On July 16, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Director Barry Pavel revisits in the New Voice of Ukraine his four different scenarios on how the war in Ukraine might end. Pavel suggests how they might be amended in light of new developments in Ukraine.
Foresight is a strategic exercise that requires returning to the original evidence; the assumptions and scenarios should be modified in accordance with actual events.
Forward Defense develops and shapes policy solutions that build US military power to deter war and secure the future.
The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.