Arms Control

The US withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002, followed by Russian violations and the subsequent US withdrawal from the Intermediate Nuclear Forces Treaty, have made the early 21st century a difficult period for arms control. The future of arms control, both for the strategic nuclear capabilities incorporated in New START and for non-strategic nuclear weapons is unclear. Moreover, emerging technologies like hypersonics and cyber assets, as well as the increasing militarization of space, are affecting the traditional arms control paradigm.

Content

Issue Brief

Aug 16, 2023

Biases blind us to the risk of Chinese military intervention in Korea

By Jonathan Corrado

This paper examines the historical record of cognitive biases, focusing on the US intelligence community’s failure to forecast PRC intervention in the Korean War, despite collecting information and evidence indicative of that outcome.

Arms Control China

New Atlanticist

Jun 14, 2023

Before embarking on arms control talks, Biden needs a nuclear deal with Congress

By Robert Soofer

The White House and Congress disagree over the type and number of nuclear weapons needed to deter Russia, China, North Korea, and potentially Iran.

Arms Control China

In the News

Jun 12, 2023

Soofer in RealClear Defense

Dr. Robert Soofer's recent nuclear arms control article was republished in RealClearDefense.

Arms Control Missile Defense

New Atlanticist

Jun 7, 2023

Export controls: A surprising key to strengthening UK-US military collaboration

By Deborah Cheverton

US allies have been quietly frustrated for decades about the indiscriminate and extraterritorial application of export controls, in particular the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR).

Arms Control Defense Industry

In the News

May 2, 2023

Kroenig and Ashford debate responses to advancements in North Korean nuclear capabilities

On April 7, Foreign Policy published its biweekly "It's Debatable" column featuring Scowcroft Center deputy director Matthew Kroenig and Emma Ashford assessing the latest news in international affairs.

Arms Control Korea

AfricaSource

May 1, 2023

To stop the fighting in Sudan, take away the generals’ money

By Ernst Jan “EJ” Hogendoorn

It is not enough to simply call for a ceasefire and a return to negotiations because those outcomes could reestablish the fraught balance of power.

Africa Arms Control

UkraineAlert

Apr 4, 2023

How to keep Western tech out of Russian weapons

By Aleksander Cwalina

The Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center convened a panel of experts for a virtual event in March to discuss how to prevent the use of Western technologies in Russian weapons, reports Aleksander Cwalina.

Arms Control Conflict

In the News

Apr 3, 2023

Kroenig in the Wall Street Journal discussing the future of arms proliferation

On March 1, Scowcroft director Matthew Kroenig’s comments on the future of arms proliferations were featured in The Wall Street Journal. Following Moscow’s suspension of the New START agreement – one of the last operating arms-control treaties between Russia and the US – the two powers are in talks to negotiate a replacement by the […]

Arms Control China

In the News

Mar 19, 2023

Binnendijk in Global Politics and Strategy: Towards Nuclear Stewardship with China

By Hans Binnendijk

Binnendijk and Gompert argue that with the rising risk of complex crises and military escalation in the Pacific region, the United States should invite China into a process of nuclear restraint and confidence-building, called ‘nuclear stewardship.' This process could start with a joint bilateral declaration that neither superpower would use nuclear weapons first against the other or its formal allies.

Arms Control Defense Policy

In the News

Feb 27, 2023

Kroenig in the Boston Globe discussing the suspension of New START

On February 21, a tweet by Scowcroft director Matthew Kroenig was quoted by Travis Anderson of the Boston Globe discussing the geopolitical implication of Putin’s suspension of New START, the only remaining nuclear arms control pact between Russia and the US. Kroenig theorizes how this may be the start of a long-term strategic arms competition […]

Arms Control Nuclear Deterrence

Experts