Scowcroft Center Commentary, Analysis, &amp; Reports

Where Does the P5+1 Stand on the Iran Nuclear Deal?

By Ashish Kumar Sen

US President Donald J. Trump is expected to reveal his decision on May 8 as to whether he will extend key sanctions waivers on Iran. A failure to do so would effectively take the United States out of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)—the Iran nuclear deal—which it signed with the United Kingdom, France, […]

Iran

Issue Brief

The United States-Lebanese armed forces partnership: Challenges, risks, and rewards

By Nicholas Blanford

Over the past year, many have questioned the extent to which the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) are an arm of the Lebanese state or beholden to Hezbollah. Pointing to the LAF’s complicated relationship with Hezbollah, congressional and other voices in the United States have criticized US security assistance to Lebanon and threatened to withhold assistance. […]

Iran Middle East

In the News

Manning Joins Radio Free Asia to Discuss the Upcoming US- North Korea Summit

By Robert A. Manning

Read the full discussion here

Korea

In the News

Kroenig Quoted in Axios on the Iran Deal

By Matthew Kroenig

Read the full article here

Iran Nuclear Nonproliferation

In the News

Rosenblum Joins 1A to Discuss CIA Director Nominee Gina Haspel

By Todd Rosenblum

Listen to the full discussion here

National Security Security & Defense

In the News

May 4, 2018

Manning Joins Phoenix TV to Discuss the US Trade Delegation to China

By Robert A. Manning

Watch the full discussion here

China Economy & Business

In the News

May 4, 2018

Manning Joins Phoenix TV to Discuss North Korea

By Robert A. Manning

Watch the full discussion here

Korea

New Atlanticist

May 4, 2018

Are Israel And Iran Headed To War?

By Ashish Kumar Sen

Early in the morning on April 9, missiles streaked through the Syrian sky toward the Tiyas (T-4) air base in Homs province, northeast of Damascus. Besides Syrian forces, the base hosts Russians and Iranians, members of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps’ (IRGC) Quds Force. Several Iranians were killed in the strikes. Syria, Russia, and Iran […]

Iran Israel

IranSource

Little Fires Everywhere: The Middle East After Trump’s Iran Deal Decision

By Richard LeBaron

The best-selling novel “Little Fires Everywhere” by Celeste Ng provides an apt title for the next book in the long-running non-fiction history of Middle East conflicts—that which will come after US President Donald J. Trump moves to modify or nullify the Iran nuclear agreement. Those fires, not so little for those directly affected, are burning […]

Iran

In the News

Braw in Defense One: We Need a NATO for Infowar

By Elisabeth Braw

Read the full article here

NATO Security & Defense

Report

Borders vs. Barriers: Navigating Uncertainty in the US Business Environment

By Mathew Burrows

Geopolitical trends and shock events can disrupt, but they can also create opportunity. This report seeks to help leading organizations better understand how geopolitics affects their strategies; explore contingent scenarios; make preparations; engage with stakeholders and policymakers on local and national levels; and potentially shift operations to seize opportunity and mitigate risks, whether financial, locational, political or social.

Economy & Business United States and Canada

Issue Brief

Innovation on cyber collaboration: Leverage at scale

By Jason Healey

In cybersecurity, it is time to go beyond sharing and ad hoc cooperation, to collaboration at scale across borders, stakeholders, and sectors. This effort should begin with a determined study of the responses to past incidents and how to improve them, then proceed to new, action-oriented Cyber Incident Collaboration Organizations (CICO) to streamline response.

Cybersecurity English

IranSource

May 2, 2018

Can Russia Serve As An Honest Broker Between Israel And Iran?

By Stephen Blank

Victory in war often brings with it unforeseen challenges and obligations. Russia is now learning that to sustain its victory in Syria’s civil war it must play a role as an arbiter or honest broker between Iran and Israel lest their rivalry explodes into large-scale combat, engulfs the entire region, and undermines Russia’s newly-acquired position […]

Iran

In the News

May 2, 2018

Vershbow Quoted in Express UK on Trump’s Shipment of Missiles to Ukraine

By Alexander Vershbow

Read the full article here

Russia Ukraine

FutureSource

Borders vs. Barriers: Navigating Uncertainty in the US Business Environment

By Foresight, Strategy, and Risks Initiative

For the first time since the global financial crisis, every major economy in the world is projected to grow, and President Trump says the US is “open for business.” As of early 2018, business leaders have been generally buoyant. The Global CFO Survey conducted for this report found CFOs to be optimistic about the economic […]

IranSource

Why Netanyahu’s revelations are significant

By Matthew Kroenig

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on April 30 provided a twenty-minute PowerPoint presentation of secret Iranian nuclear documents, acquired by Israeli intelligence. The information revealed will be unlikely to change many minds about the wisdom of the nuclear deal with Iran, but it is significant. It shows that the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) […]

Iran Israel

In the News

Braw in The National Interest: Why NATO Needs a Streamlined Decisionmaking Process

By Elisabeth Braw

Read the full article here

NATO Security & Defense

In the News