Scowcroft Center Commentary, Analysis, & Reports

Explore the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s latest insights, commentary, articles, media hits, and in-depth reports

All commentary & analysis

New Atlanticist

Feb 1, 2019

US leaving INF Treaty could spark an arms race with Russia

By David A. Wemer

“With the demise of the INF Treaty, New START will be the only remaining constraint on Russia’s formidable and growing nuclear capabilities," Alexander Vershbow says.

Arms Control Missile Defense

IranSource

Jan 31, 2019

Facing Reality: Europe’s Special Purpose Vehicle Will Not Challenge US Sanctions

By Brian O’Toole

The European Union on January 31 formally announced its long-awaited special purpose vehicle (SPV) for trade with Iran, called the Instrument in Support of Trade Exchanges (INSTEX).  Predictably, the SPV won’t seek to challenge US sanctions by attempting to conduct sanctionable trade with Iran as had been originally floated, and will instead focus on non-sanctionable trade, including […]

European Union International Organizations

IranSource

Jan 29, 2019

Glimmer of Hope in Iran for Long-Persecuted Baha’is?

By Tara Sepehri Far

The Iranian constitution after the 1979 revolution provides limited freedoms for religious minorities, and it does not recognize the Baha’i community, with more than 300,000 members in the country. Instead, for four decades, the Islamic Republic has routinely harassed, prosecuted, and imprisoned Baha’is solely for practicing their faith. Among other things, the government severely restricts Baha’is […]

Iran

IranSource

Jan 25, 2019

Israel and Iran Exchange Blows in Syria: A View From Israel

By Shemuel Meir

The January 20 Israeli attack on an Iranian weapons shipment delivery near the Damascus airport in Syria led to a quick and exceptional succession of events that could have easily brought both sides to the brink of war.  Iran reacted with a missile launch at the Golan Heights. Israel then responded with an attack on […]

Iran Israel

Strategic Insights Memo

Jan 25, 2019

How to strengthen the US approach to artificial intelligence

By Barry Pavel, Matthew Kroenig, and Anastasia Kazteridis

TO: US National Security Community FROM: Barry Pavel, Matthew Kroenig, and Anastasia Kazteridis DATE: January 25, 2019 SUBJECT: How to Strengthen the US Approach to Artificial Intelligence This Strategic Insights Memo (SIM) outlines and assesses the US government’s current approach to artificial intelligence (AI). Despite significant progress, the US Government (USG) is not where it […]

Defense Technologies National Security

New Atlanticist

Jan 18, 2019

Trump to meet North Korea’s Kim Jong-un again in February

By Ashish Kumar Sen

Is a second summit a good idea?

Korea Nuclear Nonproliferation

In the News

Jan 18, 2019

Burrows quoted by the Sun on ISIS cyber capabilities

By Mathew Burrows

Conflict Cybersecurity

In the News

Jan 18, 2019

Kroenig in The Federalist: Trump’s Not Kidding When He Promises ‘Cutting-Edge’ Missile Defense

By Matthew Kroenig

Read the full article here.

Missile Defense Security & Defense

New Atlanticist

Jan 18, 2019

A look at Trump’s missile defense strategy

By Ashish Kumar Sen

The Missile Defense Review lays out the new technologies that the Pentagon wants to combat what it sees as a growing missile threat.

Missile Defense

IranSource

Jan 16, 2019

Iranian Prisoners’ Hunger Strike Is a Plea for Basic Rights

By Tara Sepehri Far

This week, two well-known political prisoners in Tehran’s Evin prison went on a three-day hunger strike to protest their inability to get urgent medical treatment.  Narges Mohammadi, a prominent human rights defender serving a ten-year sentence for her peaceful activism, suffers from a serious neurological disease that causes muscular paralysis. Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe is a British-Iranian dual national serving a […]

In the News

Jan 15, 2019

Vershbow Quoted in Newsweek on Reports of President Trump Wanting to Withdraw from NATO

By Alexander Vershbow

Read the full article here.

NATO Security & Defense

New Atlanticist

Jan 10, 2019

Pompeo: The United States is a ‘Force for Good’ in the Middle East

By Ashish Kumar Sen

"Secretary Pompeo’s speech will be greeted with dismay—although not surprise—from most of the Middle East," said Nicholas Blanford, Atlantic Council nonresident senior fellow with the Middle East Security Initiative.

Defense Policy Extremism

New Atlanticist

Jan 9, 2019

South Korea is a hesitant, but friendly, US ally in the Indo-Pacific

By Cheol Hee Park

Both the United States and China are asking countries in the region to make a strategic choice between the two competing conceptions, making it difficult for partner countries to live in both worlds.

China Korea

In the News

Jan 7, 2019

Sultoon in The Hill: Don’t prematurely ease the pressure on North Korea

By Samantha Sultoon

Read the full article here.

Korea

In the News

Jan 3, 2019

Manning Quoted in ThinkProgress on North Korea Warning Trump About a New Path Forward

By Robert Manning

Read the full article here.

Korea

In the News

Jan 1, 2019

Remes in McKinsey Global Institute: Smarter cities are resilient cities

By Atlantic Council

Economy & Business Entrepreneurship

In the News

Dec 21, 2018

Vershbow quoted in Axios on Russia-Ukraine tensions

By Alexander Vershbow

Read the full article here.

Russia Ukraine

New Atlanticist

Dec 21, 2018

Mattis out. What now?

By Todd Rosenblum

Mattis deserves profound praise and appreciation for leaving when he could no longer support a commander in chief bent on uprooting vital national interests. 

Defense Policy National Security

Report

Dec 20, 2018

Prospects for US-South Korean-Japanese trilateral security cooperation

By Chung Min Lee

Although assessing the intensity and depth of trilateral security cooperation or a lack thereof is hardly a new issue, the stakes are arguably the highest since the outbreak of the North Korean nuclear crisis in the early 1990s.

Defense Policy Japan

New Atlanticist

Dec 20, 2018

Top 10 risks of 2019

By Robert A. Manning and Mathew J. Burrows

Unfortunately, 2018 will not go down as a very memorable year in turning the page on the big issues of our time.  Trump is right to claim credit for starting a dialogue with North Korean leader Kim Jung-un, but even that faces tests—as we outline—in the coming year. 

Conflict European Union
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