Russian aggression in Ukraine
Europe in crisis
Since the start of conflict in Ukraine’s east in 2014, diplomatic efforts to end the violence are still punctuated by episodes of military confrontation. In 2021, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that if an easy solution to the war existed, someone would have found it already. With more than 1.4 million people displaced and over 13,000 dead, the Normandy Format discussions have made little progress. In 2021, over 100,000 Russian military forces amassed on Ukraine’s border and in occupied Crimea, escalating tensions and leading to a series of high-stakes talks in early 2022.
Inflection Points Jan 23, 2022
Putin is threatening not just Ukraine but post-Cold War principles. And the stakes are generational.
Unless Biden can shift the tide, Putin will continue his long campaign to reverse the post-Cold War principles under which countries in the world navigate the future together.
UkraineAlert Jan 23, 2022
Ukraine Crisis: Putin the gambler may have gone too far to back down
By Timothy Ash
Russian President Vladimir Putin has gained the world’s attention with his threat to launch a full-scale invasion of Ukraine but he may now feel he must act or risk a serious loss of credibility on the international stage.
New Atlanticist Jan 21, 2022
What if Russia invades Ukraine (again)? Consider these options for sanctions escalation.
By Brian O’Toole, Daniel Fried
Whatever Putin’s intentions, the Kremlin’s anti-Ukrainian propaganda has not been so loud since 2014. The United States and its allies need to respond in order to prevent a major military escalation at worst and at least blunt Putin’s effort to gain political advantage through intimidation.
in-depth research & reports
Russia today & tomorrow
The West’s current methods to nudge Russia rely heavily on sanctions, and the economic impact of financial sanctions on Russia has been greater than previously understood. But looking ahead, what can the West and Russia do to prepare for a future after President Putin’s regime ends?
Report May 3, 2021
The impact of Western sanctions on Russia and how they can be made even more effective
By Anders Åslund, Maria Snegovaya
While Western sanctions have not succeeded in forcing the Kremlin to fully reverse its actions and end aggression in Ukraine, the economic impact of financial sanctions on Russia has been greater than previously understood.
Report Feb 24, 2021
Russia after Putin: How to rebuild the state
By Anders Åslund and Leonid Gozman
We do not know when and how President Putin’s regime will end, but there are signs that it is struggling and the end could come in the foreseeable future. We need to start discussing now how a new state should be built on the ruins of the old system.
COMMENTARY & ANALYSIS
The Power Vertical
The Power Vertical is a blog and podcast for Russia wonks and Kremlin watchers by Brian Whitmore. It covers emerging and developing trends in Russian politics, shining a spotlight on the high-stakes power struggles, machinations, and clashing interests that shape Kremlin policy today.
Host and Eurasia Center Senior Fellow Brian Whitmore invites guest experts to deliver their insights and analysis in this weekly podcast. The Atlantic Council and the Charles T. McDowell Center for Global Studies at the University of Texas at Arlington co-sponsor this production.
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