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Econographics

Jan 25, 2024

Expect Chinese economic retaliation against Taiwan after the DPP’s presidential victory

By Hung Tran

Economic coercion will allow China to increase pressure on Taiwan without directly confronting the US and leave significant leeway to calibrate trade measures.

China Economic Sanctions
Mumbai economy with skyscrapers in the distance

Econographics

Jan 24, 2024

The advanced consumer economy driving India’s ascent

By Josh Lipsky, Sophia Busch

By 2030, India could become the world’s third-largest economy. Here’s how the rise of powerful consumers within the country is creating a massive new domestic and international market.

India International Markets
Dedollorization and RMB internationalization

Econographics

Jan 22, 2024

Dedollarization is not just geopolitics, economic fundamentals matter

By Niels Graham, Hung Tran

Geopolitical explanations have dominated recent analysis on dedollorization. While it is certainly a key factor, macroeconomics matter as well. US interest rates and a rising dollar are encouraging other countries to search for alternatives.

Brazil China

Econographics

Jan 19, 2024

The IMF’s perspective on CBDCs

By Tobias Adrian

Tobias Adrian outlines the IMF’s view on CBDCs’ potential for payment systems, financial inclusion, and cross-border payments, emphasizing innovation and collaboration for effective implementation.

Digital Currencies Digital Policy
China, In the center of the capital in a new commercial building construction

Econographics

Jan 10, 2024

China’s local government debts are coming due

By Jeremy Mark

China’s economic slowdown brings local government debts into sharp focus, threatening infrastructure and social services.

China Economy & Business
The view of boats on the red Sea.

Econographics

Jan 8, 2024

The long shadow of the Red Sea shipping disruption

By Alex Mills

Recent attacks on shipping moving through the red sea have exposed broader risks around international maritime commerce. Policy makers must use this wake-up call to build a more resilient international shipping ecosystem.

East Africa Economy & Business

Econographics

Jan 3, 2024

Five under-the-radar economic trends that could define 2024

By Josh Lipsky, Sophia Busch

We picked five under-the-radar trends that will matter for the global economy in 2024. Each shows the potential weak spots in the global economy alongside the forces that could stabilize growth.

China Economy & Business
Building with EU flags

Econographics

Dec 19, 2023

Three next steps for the EU’s approach to economic security

By Elmar Hellendoorn

The EU’s Strategy on Economic Security, published this summer, was the first official effort to present a more coherent view on the European policy approach at the intersection of economics and geopolitics. In the end, however, the EU’s approach to economic security can only be successful if it is tied to Europe’s long-term political objectives.

Economic Sanctions European Union
Ships on Red Sea

Econographics

Dec 18, 2023

What attacks in the Red Sea could mean for the global economy

By Hung Tran

Recent missile attacks on ships in the Red Sea by Iran-backed Houthi rebels have escalated regional tensions and disrupted global trade. Large shipping companies are now avoiding the route, causing significant costs and delays, which is impacting the the already fragile economy.

Economy & Business International Markets

Econographics

Dec 11, 2023

China’s manufacturing overcapacity threatens global green goods trade

By Niels Graham

Chinese lending is exacerbating a growing glut in its green manufacturing sector. Beijing is increasingly looking abroad to absorb excess capacity. This may have devastating effects for the global trading system as economies move to protect their own domestic industry.

China Economy & Business

Content

Econographics

Jan 13, 2022

Up, up, & away: Global stock growth in 2022

By Niels Graham

In 2022 stock markets generating impressive returns in despite uncertainty over the pandemic. Market gains will likely continue into 2022.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Jan 10, 2022

Is the US going to screen outbound investment?

By Sarah Bauerle Danzman

There is a growing consensus in Washington that the U.S. government needs more tools to prevent the People’s Republic of China (PRC) from using U.S. capital markets to amass military capabilities and control supply chain chokepoints.

China Economy & Business

Econographics

Jan 5, 2022

How secure is Social Security?

By Amin Mohseni-Cheraghlou

The Social Security System is estimated to run out of reserves in just 12 years. However, reform is possible and through a combination of tax increases and retirement changes, Social Security can regain solvency

Economy & Business Fiscal and Structural Reform

EconoGraphics

Dec 16, 2021

Global Sanctions Dashboard: Holiday edition

By Julia Friedlander, Michael Albanese, Maia Nikoladze and Castellum.AI

Coordinated actions against Belarus and global human rights abusers, sanctions on African states, and anti-kleptocracy reform.

Africa Belarus

Econographics

Dec 3, 2021

The RCEP ratification and its implications

By Niels Graham

On January 1, 2022 the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) trade agreement will go into effect. When it enters into force, the partnership will be doubly historic: it will be both China’s first multilateral trade agreement and the world’s largest free trade agreement.

China Economy & Business

Timely Commentary & Analysis

Nov 19, 2021

AC GeoEcon Explores the Sanctions Response to the Belarus-Poland Border Face-Off

By Daniel Fried, Hagar Hajjar Chemali

Distinguished Fellow and former State Dept. Sanctions Coordinator Ambassador Daniel Fried participated in a discussion with Hagar Chemali, Senior Fellow and host of Oh My World, about the state of sanctions from the US & EU toward Belarus in light of the migrant crisis on Poland’s border

Economic Sanctions European Union

EconoGraphics

Nov 2, 2021

Goodbye for now, 232: Breaking down the G20 US-EU agreement on steel and aluminum

By Julia Friedlander, Clete R. Willems

During the G20 summit the US and EU announced an agreement over steel and aluminum tariffs. Julia Friedlander and Non-resident senior fellow Clete Williams react to its implications.

European Union Eurozone

EconoGraphics

Oct 29, 2021

G20 Balance Sheet

By GeoEconomics team

Asset purchases by the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan, are driving most of the more than $17 trillion increase in the “G20 balance sheet”.

Inclusive Growth International Financial Institutions

EconoGraphics

Oct 29, 2021

G20 risks becoming G7 + G13

By Mrugank Bhusari, Niels Graham

This year's Summit priorities of people, planet, and prosperity seem to have forgotten another P -- pandemic -- that most of the world is still dealing with.

Economy & Business G20

EconoGraphics

Oct 22, 2021

Global Sanctions Dashboard: Halloween edition

By Julia Friedlander, Michael Albanese and Castellum.AI

US’s evolving approach to cryptocurrencies, Pandora Papers; sanctions against Iran, Myanmar, and Russian authorities in Crimea.

Belarus China