ReportNov 30, 2023
Four scenarios for the future of multilateral peacebuilding and conflict prevention
By Peter Engelke, Anca Agachi, Imran Bayoumi
The scenarios on this page explore four alternative, plausible narratives envisioning the world in the mid-2030s, guided by dynamic interactions of drivers and trends highlighted in the larger The Future of Multilateral Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention report.
In the NewsMay 4, 2023
Engelke in The Hill discussing the polycrisis’ impact on the world’s youth
On April 28, Peter Engelke, along with UNICEF’s Jasmina Byrne, co-authored an op-ed for The Hill discussing the “polycrisis”: multiple near-simultaneous shocks, with strong independencies among them, taking place in an ever-more integrated world. This includes the likes of the COVID-19 pandemic, ongoing war in Ukraine, climate change, economic upheavals, and more. As these factors […]
In the NewsApr 7, 2023
Engelke in the Kyiv Post discussing the future of Russia
On April 4, Scowcroft Strategy Initiative deputy director Peter Engelke was quoted in The Kyiv Post discussing the future of Russia. There’s a rising perspective amongst foreign policy experts that, due to a combination of factors, the collapse of the Russian state may be near. Engelke notes that the Russian invasion of Ukraine further exacerbated […]
Peter Engelke is a deputy director and senior fellow with the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security as well as a nonresident senior fellow with its Global Energy Center. His diverse work portfolio spans strategic foresight, innovation and technological disruption, geopolitics and hard security, climate change and Earth systems, and urbanization, among other topics. Engelke’s work has appeared in or featured in the Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, Financial Times, NBC News, CBS News, the Hill, the National Interest, Citiscope, Meeting of the Minds, Inkstick, the World Economic Forum, and other outlets. He is on the adjunct faculty at Georgetown University’s School of Continuing Studies, where he is a recipient of the Tropaia Outstanding Faculty Award, and is a frequent lecturer at the US Department of State’s Foreign Service Institute. Previously, Engelke was an executive-in-residence at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy; a Bosch fellow with the Robert Bosch Foundation in Stuttgart, Germany; and a visiting fellow at the Stimson Center in Washington. He received his PhD in history from Georgetown University and master’s degrees from Georgetown’s Walsh School of Foreign Service, the University of Maryland, and Indiana University. Engelke has co-authored two books, The Great Acceleration, a global environmental history, and Health and Community Design, a study of public health and urban form.