Scowcroft Center Commentary, Analysis, & Reports

Explore the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s latest insights, commentary, articles, media hits, and in-depth reports

All commentary & analysis

In the News

Dec 2, 2023

Roberts quoted in Swedish business journal Dagens Industri

On December 1, IPSI/GCH nonresident senior fellow Dexter Tiff Roberts was quoted in Swedish business journal Dagens Industri regarding a recent poll showing most Chinese believe the US and China will fall into armed conflict over Taiwan in the next five years. On November 30, Roberts was quoted in another Dagens Industri article on unemployment […]

China Conflict

In the News

Dec 1, 2023

Michta in City Journal discussing the Hamas attack

By Atlantic Council

On October 10, an article by Dr. Andrew Mitcha, director and senior fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was published in City Journal on the implications of Hamas’s attack on Israel for strategic competition. Michta argued that the attack demonstrates that mass is still key on the battlefield and the possibility of a wider war […]

Conflict Defense Industry

In the News

Dec 1, 2023

Kroenig debates Henry Kissinger’s legacy in Foreign Policy

By Atlantic Council

On December 1, Foreign Policy published its biweekly “It’s Debatable” column featuring the discussions between Matthew Kroenig, vice president and senior director of the Scowcroft Center, and Emma Ashford on the latest news in international affairs. In their latest column, they debate the legacy left by “America’s greatest statesman,” Henry Kissinger.

Politics & Diplomacy Security & Defense

In the News

Dec 1, 2023

Novak published on Timor-Leste through the Lowy Institute and Jakarta Post

On November 29, IPSI/GCH nonresident fellow Parker Novak published a piece via the Lowy Institute, titled “Timor-Leste’s uncertain future.” He wrote that “Timor-Leste has accomplished a great deal over the past two decades but faces headwinds that, if left unaddressed, could undo much of what it has achieved.” On November 30, Novak also published an […]

Climate Change & Climate Action Democratic Transitions

New Atlanticist

Dec 1, 2023

Don’t stop now. US aid to Ukraine continues to be a wise investment.

By Michael John Williams

Cutting off aid to Ukraine now, as some in Congress propose, would undermine the immediate war effort in Europe and diminish the deterrent power of US military force globally.

Conflict Politics & Diplomacy

In the News

Nov 30, 2023

Brzezinski featured in VOA on US support for Ukraine

By Ian Brzezinski

On November 30, Transatlantic Security Initiative senior fellow Ian Brzezinski was quoted in VOA discussing the importance of sustained support for Ukraine (text in Russian).

Security & Defense Ukraine

In the News

Nov 30, 2023

Michta on Al Jazeera discussing the war in Ukraine

By Atlantic Council

On November 29, an interview with Dr. Andrew Michta, director and senior fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was released by Al Jazeera Balkans. Michta discusses the war in Ukraine and European security architecture, noting that Russia will be able to rebuild its military in only a few years.

Conflict NATO
Image for Deliberate nuclear use in a war over Taiwan: Scenarios and considerations for the United States

Report

Nov 30, 2023

Deliberate nuclear use in a war over Taiwan: Scenarios and considerations for the United States

By Matthew Kroenig

Matthew Kroenig argues the US and the PRC would have incentives to use nuclear weapons in a Taiwan war. The US must deter PRC nuclear use.

Arms Control China

Report

Nov 30, 2023

The future of multilateral peacebuilding and conflict prevention

By Peter Engelke, Anca Agachi, Imran Bayoumi

The multilateral system, defined as the set of rules, norms, and institutions that together constitute the world’s governance architecture, is not static.

Africa China

Report

Nov 30, 2023

Four scenarios for the future of multilateral peacebuilding and conflict prevention

By Peter Engelke, Anca Agachi, Imran Bayoumi

The scenarios on this page explore four alternative, plausible narratives envisioning the world in the mid-2030s, guided by dynamic interactions of drivers and trends highlighted in the larger The Future of Multilateral Peacebuilding and Conflict Prevention report.

Crisis Management International Organizations

In the News

Nov 28, 2023

Vershbow featured in ERR discussing US support to Ukraine

By Alexander Vershbow

On November 28, Transatlantic Security Initiative distinguished fellow Ambassador Alexander Vershbow was quoted in ERR discussing US support for Ukraine.

Security & Defense Ukraine

Transcript

Nov 28, 2023

Our experts explain what US policymakers should know about deterring Russia’s and China’s nuclear threats

The fellows of Forward Defense’s Nuclear Strategy Project met at a roundtable to discuss how to deter nuclear powers Russia and China from expanding their capabilities and from giving nuclear weapons a greater role in Moscow's and Beijing's defense strategies.

China East Asia

New Atlanticist

Nov 28, 2023

As the US faces down new nuclear threats, will Cold War solutions work once again?

By Alyxandra Marine

The tripolar nuclear power world is certainly new; but the deterrence theories of the Cold War may not need to be completely changed, our experts find.

China Nuclear Deterrence

Report

Nov 25, 2023

Ten challenges to implementing Force Design 2030

By Bruce Stubbs

Bruce Stubbs points out key questions for the success of the US Marine Corps's Force Design 2030.

China Defense Policy

In the News

Nov 25, 2023

Makanju featured in The Guardian on OpenAI

By Anna Makanju

On November 25, Transatlantic Security Initiative nonresident senior fellow Anna Makanju was quoted in The Guardian analyzing the foreign policy implications of leadership changes at OpenAI.

Technology & Innovation

In the News

Nov 24, 2023

Jo quoted in BBC on suspension of ROK-DPRK military pact

On November 22, IPSI nonresident senior fellow Bee Yun Jo was quoted in a BBC article on South Korea’s partial suspension of a 2018 military pact with North Korea following Pyongyang’s recent spy satellite launch. On November 23, Jo was quoted in another BBC article on North Korea’s promise to fully suspend the pact, explaining […]

Crisis Management Indo-Pacific

New Atlanticist

Nov 22, 2023

China’s acoustic aggression against a US ally follows a pattern. Military talks won’t help.

By Markus Garlauskas, Philip W. Yu

On November 14, a Chinese warship used its active sonar to harass and injure two Australian Royal Navy divers with high-powered sound waves.

Australia China

In the News

Nov 22, 2023

Michta in Politico discussing how a “federalized” EU would impact US interests

By Atlantic Council

On November 21, Dr. Andrew Michta, director and senior fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was published in Politico on proposed European Union treaty revisions that “would transform the EU from a confederation of sovereign countries into a unitary federal entity.” Dr. Michta argues that, while this shift has been ignored by US policymakers, it […]

NATO Politics & Diplomacy

Issue Brief

Nov 22, 2023

The role of nuclear weapons in a Taiwan crisis

By Gregory Weaver

Nuclear deterrence would be key in a Taiwan crisis, in part because a PLA amphibious fleet would be vulnerable to a US nuclear strike.

China Conflict

Blog Post

Nov 20, 2023

State of the Order: Assessing October 2023

The State of the Order breaks down the month's most important events impacting the democratic world order.

China Economy & Business

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