• USMCA’s Road to Passage is Bumpy, But Its Promised Stability is Sorely Needed

    Congressional Democrats and the US Trade Representative (USTR) are inching toward agreement on key elements of the US-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement (USMCA) to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The Trump administration is aiming to achieve Congressional approval of the new trade agreement during September or October, when it still may be possible to get it through the Democrat-controlled House of Representatives before 2020 electioneering is in full swing. 

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  • INFOGRAPHICS - Disinformation in Democracies: Strengthening Digital Resilience in Latin America

    2018 saw political tides turn in three of Latin America’s largest democracies. These elections also saw deep polarization and distrust in institutions among Brazilians, Mexicans, and Colombians in an information environment ripe with disinformation. And while disinformation and misinformation are nothing new, the spread of false information at alarming rates is more effective and worrisome than ever. A year-long effort to identify, expose, and explain disinformation around elections in Latin America using open source methodologies yielded the following key findings and recommendations.

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  • US Senators Warn Against Tariffs on Mexico

    The migrant flow from Central America to the United States is a serious problem that needs to be addressed, but cannot be solved through the use of tariffs, two US senators said at the Atlantic Council on June 12.

    On May 30, US President Donald J. Trump threatened to impose a 5 percent tariff on all Mexican goods by June 10 unless the Mexican government did more to help prevent migrants from reaching the US border. He further warned that this tariff would be increased by five percentage points each month until satisfactory progress was made. On June 7, Trump announced that a deal had been struck with the Mexican government that saw the tariff threat dropped, although it could be reinstated if the there is a “problem.”

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  • US-Mexico Deal Reached: The Economic Reasons for Avoiding Tariffs

    On June 12, the Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center in partnership with POLITICO, hosted a timely event to discuss the economic costs of tariffs on Mexican imports for US consumers. The event was held less than a week after a US-Mexico deal was reached.

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  • Trump's Risky Trade Game

    The effectiveness of President Donald Trump’s unprecedented weaponization of tariffs in addressing non-trade issues is facing its most significant tests yet in Mexico and China.
    In the case of Mexico, he had threatened new 5% tariffs on Mexican goods – which were to be imposed as early as Monday. The aim was to force the Mexican government to stem the flood of undocumented migrants across US borders.

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  • Infographic: Costs of a Five Percent Mexico Tariff on US Consumers

    On June 10, without a deal, the United States will place a 5 percent tariff on all Mexican products, with the potential to escalate by 5 percent each month until October, reaching a potential maximum of 25 percent. The US tariffs, levied in response to President Trump’s demand that Mexico stop all migration, would have immediate effects on US consumers and businesses. What are the potential effects of US tariffs at the state and national levels?

    This new Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center infographic distills some of the economic ramifications that would accompany tariffs.

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  • Immigration and Tariffs: In Support of the Ongoing US-Mexico Border Diplomacy

    In an effort to head off the escalating tariffs on Mexican imports that US President Donald J. Trump has threatened to impose as of June 10, Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) dispatched cabinet members to Washington for meetings to work through the complex issues surrounding migration flows from Central America.

    If imposed, these US tariffs would have major near-term economic and political costs for the United States and Mexico. Over the longer term, they could cause serious damage to a bilateral relationship that has progressively become more important since the establishment of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 1994.

    There is plenty of responsibility to share for the immigration challenges being faced today on the US-Mexico border. 

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  • Trump’s Immigration Tariffs on Mexico Will Be Painful for United States

    US President Donald J. Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on imports from Mexico until the surge of illegal immigration at the southern border stops will “be a devastating blow to the US economy,” according to Jason Marczak, director of the Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center.

    Trump announced on May 30 that his administration would impose a 5 percent tariff on all goods originating in Mexico. He further threatened to increase the tariff unless Mexico took steps to stop migrants from reaching the US border.

    While Trump’s aim is to pressure Mexican officials to take more action on illegal immigration, these tariffs “will be most acutely felt by US consumers,” said Marczak.

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  • With Tariffs Lifted, the Future Looks Bright for the North American Trade Deal

    Over the past two years, the US-Mexican relationship has been marked by challenges on trade, immigration, and security. In June 2018, the United States, citing national security concerns, placed tariffs on Canadian and Mexican aluminum and steel. These tariffs cast a shadow over negotiations on the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) and the subsequent processes to ratify the trade deal. The Trump administration’s May 17 decision to lift the tariffs is good news for the ratification of the USMCA.

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  • Wayne in Dallas News: Tariffs won't solve U.S.-Mexico Drug Crime — We Must Work Together

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