Programs

At the intersection of economics, finance, and foreign policy, the GeoEconomics Center is a translation hub with the goal of helping shape a better global economic future.

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Featured Analysis

Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Econographics Jun 6, 2025

The search for safe assets

By Hung Tran

The deterioration of the US fiscal outlook has put international investors, especially foreign central banks, in a quandary. There is no good alternative to US Treasuries as safe reserve assets.
Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Econographics May 29, 2025

After partial relief, what’s next for Syria sanctions?

By Alex Zerden

Syria remains a high-risk jurisdiction due to years of conflict, endemic corruption, state institution collapse, narcotrafficking of captagon, insufficient anti-money laundering efforts, and inadequate financing of terrorism controls.
Economic Sanctions Economy & Business
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Sinographs Jun 2, 2025

Hong Kong highlights China’s policy of decoupling from US financial markets

By Jeremy Mark

The political benefits of an international financial center with Chinese characteristics will outweigh the pain that decoupling inflicts on China’s private sector.
China Economy & Business
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

New Atlanticist May 27, 2025

What’s the Trump administration’s dollar strategy? It depends on who you ask.

By Alisha Chhangani

Within the White House, there appear to be competing and fractured views of the dollar’s role. This dissonance could result in harm to the currency’s long-term dominance.
Digital Currencies Economy & Business
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Issue Brief Jun 6, 2025

How Japanese economic statecraft has shifted from promotion to protection

By Charles Lichfield

Japan is in a geopolitically challenging neighborhood and is witnessing the basic tenets of its foreign policy—from alignment with the United States to fostering a rules-based environment—come under unprecedented stress.
East Asia Economic Sanctions
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

New Atlanticist Jun 6, 2025

Even as courts step in, Trump still has plenty of tariff options. US trading partners should intensify negotiations.

By Brian Janovitz

Section 301 may entail more work for the White House, but it could provide a relatively straightforward pathway to broad-based tariffs.
Economy & Business Politics & Diplomacy

In-Depth Research

In the News Nov 15, 2024

Avoiding Entanglement: G20 Responses in a Taiwan Crisis report cited by the Wall Street Journal on how China would respond to trade restrictions from the West

Read the full article here
Brazil China
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Report Oct 22, 2024

The economic and social costs of the war in Gaza

By Perrihan Al-Riffai

After a year of war, Israel, the Palestinian territories, and neighboring countries need a permanent ceasefire. But with development gains erased, billions of dollars in infrastructure damaged, and skyrocketing unemployment, the Middle East also urgently needs a solid reconstruction plan.
Conflict Israel
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Report Oct 9, 2024

End of the line: The cost of faltering reforms

By Atlantic Council GeoEconomics Center and Rhodium Group

The China Pathfinder project examines whether China’s economy is converging or diverging with the world’s leading open market economies.
China Digital Policy
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Issue Brief Sep 20, 2024

Toward a financial inclusion agenda for the global majority

By Nicole Goldin

Policymakers, investors, and innovators must advance a new financial inclusion agenda designed for the global majority.
Economy & Business Fiscal and Structural Reform
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Report Sep 9, 2024

Sharing the post carbon economy means building a resilient EV supply chain

By Sarah Bauerle Danzman

In this report Sarah Bauerle Danzman advances the policy discussion by compiling trade, investment, and EV industrial policy data across the G20, and offers six recommendations to the G20 to build a resilient EV supply chain.
Brazil China
Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports

Report Jun 7, 2024

Reconstructing Ukraine at war: The journey to prosperity starts now

By John E. Herbst, Olga Khakova, Charles Lichfield

Rebuilding the Ukrainian economy after Russia’s full-scale invasion will be a monumental task. Reconstruction can’t wait for peace and must be a well-coordinated, inclusive process.
Economy & Business Energy & Environment

Read the latest from the GeoEconomics Center

Econographics

Jun 23, 2025

From trade wars to capital wars: Section 899 could rattle global capital markets

By John Satory

Section 899 of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act plans to tax certain foreign investors, testing investor confidence in America’s financial leadership and market stability.

Economy & Business Financial Regulation

Econographics

Jun 19, 2025

Hawks vs. doves: The split between the Fed and the ECB

By Bart Piasecki

While the ECB signals an end to its rate-cutting cycle, the Fed hesitates. This article explores the macroeconomic and policy reasons behind it.

Economy & Business European Union

Econographics

Jun 17, 2025

Anonymous shell companies pose a threat to US national security. Here is how to address it.

By Julie Brinn Siegel

On March 26, the Department of the Treasury scrapped critical federal rules that would have made most anonymous shell companies illegal. The rules would also have prevented them from being abused by drug cartels, human traffickers, foreign adversaries like Iran and China, terrorist groups, and other bad actors.

China Economy & Business
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Content

In the News

Feb 27, 2024

Shaffer quoted in S&P Global on Iranian oil exports
Iran Middle East

Econographics

Feb 27, 2024

Future-proofing the World Trade Organization

By Penny Naas

During the WTO's 13th Ministerial Conference in Abu Dhabi, ministers must make progress on the WTO's negotiations and dispute settlement processes.

China Economy & Business

In the News

Feb 26, 2024

Garlauskas, Webster, and Verges quoted in the Diplomat on China’s aid to Russia

On February 24, a New Atlanticist article by Markus Garlauskas, Global Energy Center Senior Fellow Joseph Webster, and Emma Verges, titled, “China’s support for Russia has been hindering Ukraine’s counteroffensive,” was quoted in a Diplomat piece on China’s economic and material support to Russia’s war effort in Ukraine.

China Conflict

Report

Feb 26, 2024

Redefining US strategy with Latin America and the Caribbean for a new era

By Jason Marczak, María Fernanda Bozmoski, Matthew Kroenig

The strategic interest of the United States and the countries of Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) lies in strengthening their western hemisphere partnership. However, the perception of waning US interest and the rise of external influences necessitate the rejuvenation of and renewed focus on this partnership.

Caribbean Economy & Business

Freedom and Prosperity Around the World

Feb 26, 2024

Stabilizing revenue will lead Kenya to greater prosperity

By Robert Mudida

Kenya aims to grow manufacturing and GDP via the African Continental Free Trade Area. Formalizing informal jobs stabilizes revenue. Expanding global value chains, especially in tourism, boosts growth. Institutional reform is key for lasting prosperity.

Africa East Africa

Freedom and Prosperity Around the World

Feb 26, 2024

South Africa needs political change to meet economic demands

By Greg Mills

South Africa's future hinges on political changes, especially the potential shift to a coalition government in the 2024 election. Economic challenges, including rising debt, demand urgent reforms. Global alliances, notably with BRICS and China, affect trade dynamics, emphasizing the need for diversification.

Africa Elections

Freedom and Prosperity Around the World

Feb 26, 2024

Sub-Saharan Africa grapples with development imperatives

By William Easterly

Sub-Saharan Africa confronts urgent development challenges, including the imperative for democratization and institution building, amid critical security concerns. With declining foreign support and China's Belt and Road Initiative rising, worries arise over debt and politicized financing. Despite potential through regional integration, diverse political interests and institutional weaknesses remain obstacles.

Africa Democratic Transitions

Freedom and Prosperity Around the World

Feb 26, 2024

EU’s future prosperity will be marked by war in Ukraine

By Simeon Djankov

The EU’s freedom and prosperity dynamics will be marked by the war in Ukraine. The indexes provoke philosophical reflection: Is Europe's prosperity dwindling due to an extensive social safety net? Is the strength of European integration declining with new members, while the strength of EU federalism diminishes?

Europe & Eurasia European Union

Freedom and Prosperity Around the World

Feb 26, 2024

Russia will suffer decreases in every dimension of prosperity

By Konstantin Sonin

Over fifteen years, Russia's economy stagnated with low growth and persistent inequality. Challenges include minority rights restrictions, healthcare issues, and an educational crisis due to teacher exodus.

Europe & Eurasia Freedom and Prosperity

Freedom and Prosperity Around the World

Feb 26, 2024

Egypt grapples with political uncertainty under El-Sisi

By Rabah Arezki

Egypt faces economic challenges with heavy debt and political unrest. President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi's reelection may not prompt reforms, exacerbating inflation and currency devaluation. Gulf aid hinges on reforms, while militarization impedes change. Regional tensions heighten instability risks.

Conflict Elections
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Experts

Millennium fellow

Kate Dunbar

Head of Macro Research, Bridgewater Associates

Millennium Leadership Program

Americas Economy & Business

Millennium fellow

Jeanette Quick

Deputy Assistant Secretary, United States Department of Treasury

Millennium Leadership Program

Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia

Millennium fellow

Jasneet Hora

Deputy Director of Speechwriting, Office of the Vice President, The White House

Millennium Leadership Program

Economy & Business Entrepreneurship

Millennium fellow

Gabriela Santos

Chief Market Strategist, Americas, J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Millennium Leadership Program

East Asia Economy & Business

Millennium fellow

Devon Long

Co-Head of Investment Implementation, Bridgewater Associates

Millennium Leadership Program

Americas Economy & Business

Millennium fellow

Dan Murphy

Anchor, CNBC

Millennium Leadership Program

Economy & Business Energy & Environment
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Events

Online Event Wed, July 2, 2025 • 3:00 pm ET

Central Bank Governor Leonardo Villar on Colombia’s monetary policy trajectory
Americas Economy & Business Financial Regulation Latin America
Online Event Fri, July 11, 2025 • 10:30 am ET

What comes next for transatlantic trade
Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia European Union Trade and tariffs
Flagship Event Tue, September 30, 2025 • 9:00 am ET

2025 Transatlantic Forum on GeoEconomics

The Transatlantic Forum on GeoEconomics is an annual conference convening economic and financial leaders from both sides of the Atlantic.
Digital Policy Economy & Business Europe & Eurasia European Union