Content

In the News

Jan 31, 2024

Garlauskas published in Newsweek on rising threat of North Korea

On January 30, Markus Garlauskas published an op-ed in Newsweek at their request on “The Rising Threat of Kim Jong Un’s North Korea.” In his article, he explained that despite recent concerns that Pyongyang will pursue war on the Korean Peninsula, the imminent threats posed by North Korea are its advancing weapons programs, its evolving […]

Defense Technologies Indo-Pacific

Issue Brief

Jan 31, 2024

A US-South Korea alliance strategic memo on deterrence

By Markus Garlauskas, Lauren D. Gilbert

With North Korea’s rapidly advancing military technology, aggressive nuclear policy changes, and deepening ties with the PRC making deterrence on the Korean Peninsula increasingly more complex, this is how the US and South Korea can shore up cooperative deterrence and boost alliance resilience.

China Defense Policy

In the News

Jan 29, 2024

IPSI report on deterrence in Korea cited across major media platforms

This month, IPSI’s latest report, Deterrence is crumbling in Korea: How we can fix it, has been cited in Reuters, the Washington Post, and Newsweek. These articles highlighted several key points from the report, including its warning that although Kim Jong Un is unlikely to pursue a full-scale nuclear war, North Korea still has the […]

China Indo-Pacific

In the News

Jan 22, 2024

Narang on the State of the World podcast

Neil Narang joins the University of California Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation's State of the World podcast

China Conflict

In the News

Jan 15, 2024

IPSI report on simultaneous conflicts referenced in VOA

On January 14, IPSI’s report, “The United States and its allies must be ready to deter a two-front war and nuclear attacks in East Asia,” was referenced in a VOA article, which underscored the report’s warning about the potential for China to target US bases in South Korea in a conflict with the United States.

Arms Control China

In the News

Dec 30, 2023

Soofer on Voice of America on North Korean missile threat

By Atlantic Council

Robert Soofer speaks on Voice of America to discuss the rising missile threat from North Korea.

Arms Control China

New Atlanticist

Dec 29, 2023

Five things that did not happen in 2023

By Atlantic Council experts

From a recession and a trade war to an invasion and a nuclear war, there was a lot that did not happen in the past year. Here is what that means for 2024.

China Economy & Business

In the News

Dec 8, 2023

Report by Garlauskas and Gilbert quoted in UK Parliament’s “In Focus”

On December 7, a recent report by Markus Garlauskas and Lauren Gilbert was quoted in an article published through the United Kingdom Parliament’s House of Lords Library. The article examines the developing North Korean threat to global security, citing Garlauskas’ and Gilbert’s argument that “the path toward strategic deterrence failure is far more likely to […]

China Crisis Management
Image for Deliberate nuclear use in a war over Taiwan: Scenarios and considerations for the United States

Report

Nov 30, 2023

Deliberate nuclear use in a war over Taiwan: Scenarios and considerations for the United States

By Matthew Kroenig

Matthew Kroenig argues the US and the PRC would have incentives to use nuclear weapons in a Taiwan war. The US must deter PRC nuclear use.

Arms Control China

Transcript

Nov 28, 2023

Our experts explain what US policymakers should know about deterring Russia’s and China’s nuclear threats

The fellows of Forward Defense’s Nuclear Strategy Project met at a roundtable to discuss how to deter nuclear powers Russia and China from expanding their capabilities and from giving nuclear weapons a greater role in Moscow's and Beijing's defense strategies.

China East Asia

Experts