Content

Issue Brief

May 8, 2026

Can Friedrich Merz’s chancellorship survive?

By Phyllis Berry

One year into his chancellorship, Friedrich Merz heads a government beset by economic stagnation, low public approval, and coalition tensions.

Economy & Business Elections

Dispatches

May 8, 2026

Costa Rica’s paradox of political continuity

By María Fernanda Bozmoski

Across Latin America, voters have punished incumbents and rejected traditional parties. Costa Rica appears to be an exception.

Central America Elections

In the News

May 8, 2026

Kroenig quoted in The Wall Street Journal on Rubio’s trip to Italy

By Atlantic Council

On May 7, Atlantic Council vice president and Scowcroft Center senior director Matthew Kroenig was quoted in The Wall Street Journal about Secretary of State Marco Rubio's trip to Italy, arguing that he is the Trump administration's most effective foreign policy communicator.

Italy Politics & Diplomacy

In the News

May 8, 2026

Kroenig quoted in Semafor on Rubio’s trip to Italy

By Atlantic Council

On May 7, Atlantic Council vice president and Scowcroft Center senior director Matthew Kroenig was quoted in Semafor about Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s trip to Italy.

Italy Politics & Diplomacy

Dispatches

May 7, 2026

How the Trump administration can reform the Jones Act to lower US energy costs

By David L. Goldwyn, Reid I’Anson, and Andrea Clabough

Shippers should be allowed to use non–Jones Act compliant vessels as long as no alternative is available.

Conflict Economy & Business

UkraineAlert

May 7, 2026

Putin is dragging Belarus deeper into Russia’s Ukraine invasion

By Hanna Liubakova

Belarus may not currently be poised to join the invasion of Ukraine, but Vladimir Putin is clearly intent on dragging the country deeper into Russia’s war effort, writes Hanna Liubakova.

Belarus Conflict

Dispatches

May 7, 2026

What the EU-Mercosur trade deal’s provisional implementation means and what comes next

By Stuart Jones, Ignacio Albe

The agreement bridges two highly complementary but historically protectionist markets, offering benefits for both regions.

Economy & Business European Union

Dispatches

May 7, 2026

What Gulf states need in a US-Iran deal

By Eric Alter

Any Strait of Hormuz agreement must establish a framework in which states economically dependent on the waterway help monitor and enforce its terms.

Conflict Middle East

Dispatches

May 6, 2026

How the Iran war is affecting Latin America and the Caribbean’s economic outlook

By Ignacio Albe, Enrique Millán-Mejía

The data show how energy and commodity shortages are pushing inflation higher, tightening financial conditions, and slowing growth.

Caribbean Conflict

Inflection Points

May 6, 2026

The real trouble with the US debt topping 100 percent of GDP

By Frederick Kempe

The argument over whether this marks an inflection point divides economists, policymakers, and investors into two camps.

Economy & Business Fiscal and Structural Reform

Experts