Content

Issue Brief

Feb 4, 2026

A new Arctic strategy for Sweden

By David Auerswald

Sweden has the largest Nordic economy, a defense budget double what it was in 2022 and set to grow more, and cross-party consensus behind the foreign policy shifts that led Stockholm to join NATO in 2024. The government can and should shift its approach in the High North to a singular focus on deterring Russia.

Defense Policy
Europe & Eurasia

Issue Brief

Feb 4, 2026

Nordic-Baltic security in a sea of allies: Sweden’s role in countering hybrid threats in the Baltic Sea region

By Justina Budginaite-Froehly

The accession of Sweden to NATO completed the Alliance's northern arc, bringing the majority of the Baltic Sea under alliance control. However, Russia continues to probe NATO's resolve with sub-threshold aggression. This paper includes recommendations for Sweden and NATO to counter hybrid threats in the Baltic region.

Defense Policy
Eastern Europe

In the News

Feb 4, 2026

Gray on Fox Business Network on Iran

By Atlantic Council

On February 2, Alexander B. Gray, a GeoStrategy Initiative nonresident senior fellow, was interviewed on Fox Business Network about US actions in Iran and how they fit Trump's broader strategic ambitions.

Iran
Politics & Diplomacy

Inflection Points

Feb 4, 2026

Mario Draghi—yet again—has issued a wake-up call to Europe

By Frederick Kempe

Draghi's call for a federalized Europe in the face of geopolitical threats echoes his effort to save the euro.

Economy & Business
Europe & Eurasia

Memo to...

Feb 3, 2026

Memo to the president: Steps to secure a prosperous, US-aligned Venezuela

By Jason Marczak, Ambassador James Story, General (ret.) Laura J. Richardson, and Geoff Ramsey

One month after Nicolás Maduro’s removal from power, Washington has significant leverage it can use in the short term to boost the odds of a stable, democratic Venezuela emerging in the long term. To that end, our experts lay out the tough asks the US government should make of interim president Delcy Rodríguez.

Corruption
Democratic Transitions

MENASource

Feb 3, 2026

Why the Muslim Brotherhood is staying calm amid crackdowns in Jordan

By Aaron Magid

Despite widespread popularity, the Islamist faction did not organize large-scale protests, lowered its media profile, and avoided attacks.

Extremism
Intelligence

Dispatches

Feb 3, 2026

The Marine Corps presence in Okinawa is critical to deterring China and North Korea

By Caleb Eames, Amy Cowley

Shifting US forces away from Okinawa would undermine deterrence in the Indo-Pacific by pulling critical rapid-response forces from the First Island Chain.

Conflict
Defense Policy

Dispatches

Feb 3, 2026

Seven things to know about the potential for resumed Iran nuclear negotiations

By Nate Swanson

The tentatively planned resumption of US-Iran nuclear talks this week does not mean US military action is off the table.

Conflict
Defense Policy

Dispatches

Feb 2, 2026

To repair US-Colombia ties, Trump and Petro should focus on counternarcotics and Venezuela

By Kevin Whitaker

By focusing on shared interests on counternarcotics and Venezuela, Tuesday's Oval Office meeting between the US and Colombian presidents can put the two nations’ bilateral relations on a better path.

Colombia
Crisis Management

In the News

Feb 2, 2026

Kroenig quoted in The Hill on US strategy in Greenland

By Atlantic Council

On February 2, Atlantic Council vice president and Scowcroft Center senior director Matthew Kroenig was quoted in The Hill on talks between the US and Denmark regarding Greenland.

Greenland
NATO

Experts

Events