• Is Russia Increasingly Relying on Cyber Warfare for Foreign Policy?

    Recent developments in the Crimea have served as a timely warning to the West. Russian intervention was preceded by a cyber attack launched against Ukraine, causing havoc with their communication systems.
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  • Four More Crimean Tatars Vanish, One Dead Amid Russian Crackdown

    19 Tatars Abducted or Disappeared Since Moscow's Takeover of Crimea

    At least nineteen ethnic Tatars have been abducted or have disappeared in Russian-ruled Crimea, four of them in the past ten days, Tatar and human rights activists say. Russian authorities up to the office of President Vladimir Putin have promised to investigate the disappearances, which began in the first week of Russia's invasion of the peninsula. But they have made no arrests and reported no progress in finding the missing men.

    Many of the vanished men were active in Tatar community organizations that have protested Russia’s seizure of Crimea from Ukraine. In some cases, witnesses or video cameras have glimpsed the moment of their disappearance—unidentified men surrounding them on the street or bundling them into a van, family members and human rights groups have said. In two of the cases—one of them hours ago—bodies of the men have been found in remote locations.

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  • Can US Support for Ukraine Help Prevent a New Russian Invasion?

    Canadian Analyst Says US Should Signal Moscow To Avoid Any Assault in South

    Amid the relative lull in the Russia-Ukraine war, Ukrainian military specialists say Russia may soon re-invade Ukraine to seize a critical overland supply route to Crimea. But some analysts and officials in the West are less worried. In the end, says military analyst Ihor Kozak, we have to guess. Still, the dangers in any new Russian invasion are so great that the US government should take four steps quickly to forestall it, according to Kozak.

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  • As Winter Nears in Ukraine, Will Moscow Attempt Another Strategic Invasion?

    Continued Attacks Show Kremlin May Be Preparing Drive Toward Crimea, Analysts Say

    Distracted US and European policymakers may feel grateful that this month’s truce has slowed the Russia-Ukraine war. The Obama administration is seized with the Syria-Iraq crisis and Congress has gone home to campaign for the November 4 election. Europe faces an internal battle this week as its newly Euro-skeptic parliament grills nominees for the next European Commission.

    But the relative calm in Ukraine may be short-lived, according to Ukrainian analysts who say that approach of winter is sharpening Russia’s strategic interest in launching a new invasion—this time to establish a badly needed overland corridor to supply food, fuel and even water to its newly annexed territory of Crimea. Russia’s combine of regular and proxy forces is poised for such an assault along the 225 miles (375 kilometers) of Ukraine’s southern coast.

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  • Russia Cracks Down in Crimea, Shuts Tatar Community Offices

    Police, Masked Thugs Bar Tatar, Other Ethnic Leaders From Attending UN Conference Today

    Russian authorities in Crimea have moved since last week to silence and isolate the peninsula’s main ethnic Tatar community and political organization, the Mejlis. Russia’s government has shut down the group’s headquarters in Crimea and tried to prevent Tatar representatives from attending a United Nations conference in New York on indigenous peoples.

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  • Top NATO Commander Concerned About 'Little Green Men' in Moldova

    From David Alexander, Reuters:  NATO's top military commander said on Monday that Russia appeared to be following some of the same "hybrid warfare" script in dealing with the former Soviet republic of Moldova that it used before annexing Crimea and intervening in eastern Ukraine.
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  • Kremlin Silences Crimea's Last Pro-Ukraine TV Station

    Shutdown Virtually Completes Muffling of Crimean Media

    On August 1, police in Crimea entered the headquarters of the Chornomorska Television Company to shut it down, virtually completing Russia’s silencing of all Ukrainian and independent media on the peninsula five months after its invasion. The Moscow-backed authorities had already halted other Ukrainian broadcasts and have progressively been constricting Chornomorska (“Black Sea”) since shortly after the invasion, in early March.

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  • The Russian Threat to NATO

    What can NATO realistically do if Vladimir Putin sets his sights on the Baltic states?
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  • Video: Dueling NATO, Russia Naval Exercises On Black Sea

    From Joshua Kucera, Bug Pit: Competing Black Sea naval exercises by NATO and Russia have again raised tensions in the region as the once sleepy sea has become a venue for geopolitical competition.

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  • Putin's NATO Fears Are Groundless

    President Vladimir Putin appears to have a NATO phobia.
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