Tue, Jun 2, 2020

Geometries of deterrence: Assessing defense arrangements in Europe’s northeast

Nations in Europe’s northeast cooperate through a variety of multilateral security and defense arrangements. “Geometries of Deterrence” assesses how these arrangements individually and collectively contribute to deterrence and defense in Northeastern Europe.

In-Depth Research & Reports by Hans Binnendijk and Conor Rodihan

Defense Policy Europe & Eurasia

Mon, Jun 1, 2020

Executive summary: The virus and global order

The COVID-19 pandemic is having dramatic effects on everyday life, but its geopolitical implications could prove to be even more profound. The pandemic is exacerbating and unleashing pressure points in the global order, including intensified US-China competition, that could fundamentally reshape geopolitics.

Issue Brief by Jeffrey Cimmino, Matthew Kroenig, and Barry Pavel

China Coronavirus

Mon, Jun 1, 2020

Taking stock: Where are geopolitics headed in the COVID-19 era?

The COVID-19 pandemic has stressed pressure points in the global order and threatens to unravel the rules-based international system. This paper examines the geopolitical implications of the pandemic by identifying key strategic shocks and tensions exacerbated by the virus. It also identifies uncertainties for the global order and provides policy recommendations for how the United States and its allies should address the pandemic.

Issue Brief by Jeffrey Cimmino, Matthew Kroenig, and Barry Pavel

China Coronavirus

Tue, May 26, 2020

European energy security and the critical role of transatlantic energy cooperation

Transatlantic cooperation is essential to European energy security, which is and should remain a key national security priority for the United States. European energy security is crucial for the maintenance of a strong European economy and for European political stability, both of which are in the best interests of the United States. This report recommends that the United States and the EU focus their energy cooperation in several areas that will benefit the EU’s efforts to meet climate targets and that, at the same time, will also bolster energy security.

Report by Richard L. Morningstar, András Simonyi, Olga Khakova, Jennifer T. Gordon

Energy & Environment Europe & Eurasia

Sat, May 16, 2020

Downstream oil theft: Countermeasures and good practices

Downstream oil theft has become a global problem. Since most of the world’s energy systems still rely on oil, fuel smugglers are nearly always able to find markets for their goods. Moreover, as oil is not inherently illegal, it is generally an easy product to move, buy, and sell. Profits from oil theft are frequently used to fund terrorism and other illegal activities.

Report by Dr. David Soud with contributing authors Dr. Ian Ralby and Rohini Ralby

Energy & Environment Energy Markets & Governance
Destroyed village in Lebanon

Wed, May 13, 2020

Counting the cost: Avoiding another war between Israel and Hezbollah

The Atlantic Council has released a new report, “Counting the Cost: Avoiding Another War between Israel and Hezbollah,” authored by Nicholas Blanford and Assaf Orion.

In-Depth Research & Reports by Nicholas Blanford and Assaf Orion

Conflict Crisis Management

Mon, May 11, 2020

Trump’s JCPOA withdrawal two years on: Maximum pressure, minimum outcomes

Two years ago, US President Donald J. Trump walked into the White House Diplomatic Reception Room and announced his intention to withdraw the United States from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The Trump administration reimposed sanctions on Iran and has adopted a policy of “maximum pressure” to compel Iran to change its behavior […]

Issue Brief by David Mortlock

Economic Sanctions Economy & Business
A net launched from a net-capture system just before catching its target, Quantico, Virginia (December 2018). Source: Red Six Solutions

Mon, May 4, 2020

Drone attacks against critical infrastructure: A real and present threat

Read the Middle East Program’s new paper on the use of weaponized drones in the Middle East, with recommendations for policymakers.

Issue Brief by Dr. Scott Crino and Conrad “Andy” Dreby

Drones Middle East

Thu, Apr 30, 2020

Loose cobras: DPRK regime succession and uncertain control over offensive cyber capabilities

Unconfirmed rumors surfaced in mid April 2020 regarding the potential incapacitation of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, leading to speculation about the ramifications of a sudden transition of leadership in Pyongyang. These rumors raise serious concerns over the stability of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea’s (DPRK) control of offensive cyber operations capabilities.

Issue Brief by JD Work

Cybersecurity East Asia
Cover Image for Sustainable Aviation Fuel Policy

Thu, Apr 30, 2020

Sustainable aviation fuel policy in the United States: A pragmatic way forward

Aviation’s reliance on fossil fuels, its expected future growth rates, and the service lifespan of aircraft make it a difficult section of the transportation sector to decarbonize.

Report by Fred Ghatala

Energy & Environment Renewables & Advanced Energy

Mon, Apr 27, 2020

The future of US-Iraq relations

This Atlantic Council Iraq Initiative report by Nonresident Senior Fellow Dr. C. Anthony Pfaff analyzes the current challenges in the US-Iraq relationship and presents policy recommendations.

In-Depth Research & Reports by C. Anthony Pfaff

Iraq Middle East

Thu, Apr 23, 2020

What world post-COVID-19? Three scenarios

This paper is a preliminary look at the geopolitical implications of the COVID-19 pandemic and sketches three scenarios for the possible direction of the global system post-COVID-19.

In-Depth Research & Reports by Mathew J. Burrows, Peter Engelke

Coronavirus G20

Wed, Apr 22, 2020

Moving out: A comprehensive assessment of European military mobility

Military mobility is the logical and critical next step to enhancing the twenty-first-century conventional deterrence posture throughout Europe, an essential part of the formula for keeping the peace.

Report by Task Force Co-Chairs: General Curtis M. Scaparrotti, USA (Ret.) and Ambassador Colleen B. Bell

Europe & Eurasia European Union

Fri, Apr 17, 2020

Emerging technologies and the future of US-Japan defense collaboration

This report explores the drivers, tensions, and constraints shaping US-Japan collaboration on emerging defense technologies while providing concrete recommendations for the US-Japan alliance.

Report by Tate Nurkin and Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi

Defense Technologies East Asia
AI Policy Primer 2020 Peter

Fri, Mar 27, 2020

AI, society and governance: An introduction

AI’s increasing range of applications are having real-world consequences, both positive and negative. Those consequences, in turn, have animated spirited and at times emotional debates about how governments can craft policies to come to grips with a world increasingly shaped by AI.

In-Depth Research & Reports by Peter Engelke

China Digital Policy

Fri, Mar 27, 2020

Making the most of Prosper Africa: Leveraging US competitiveness in African markets

Global powers are jockeying for access to opportunities in African markets. In this environment, how can the United States ensure US commercial success in Africa?

Report by Aubrey Hruby

Africa Economy & Business

Mon, Mar 16, 2020

Pushing back against Russian aggression: Legislative options

US President Donald J. Trump’s administration has found it challenging to maintain a consistent position with respect to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s repression at home and aggression abroad. It may again fall to Congress to attempt to counter Russia’s election interference, already ongoing in the form of disinformation; back Ukraine as its government seeks to […]

Issue Brief by Daniel Fried & Brian O’Toole

Economic Sanctions Economy & Business

Fri, Mar 6, 2020

Russia’s exotic nuclear weapons and implications for the United States and NATO

Great-power competition has returned, and with it, the importance of nuclear weapons in international politics.

Issue Brief by Matthew Kroenig, Mark Massa, and Christian Trotti

Defense Technologies Nuclear Deterrence

Fri, Mar 6, 2020

A new energy strategy for the Western Hemisphere

The Western Hemisphere is full of potential and we have the opportunity to galvanize it into an energy powerhouse. This new US energy strategy for the Western Hemisphere will help raise the global competitiveness of the hemisphere, advance its shared prosperity, and improve national and energy security as a result.

Report by David L. Goldwyn

Americas Climate Change & Climate Action

Thu, Mar 5, 2020

US-Brazil trade and FDI: Enhancing the bilateral economic relationship

The United States and Brazil would benefit from a closer and stronger trade and foreign-direct-investment-relationship that would amplify growth and prosperity, in both the short and long terms. Deepening the economic relationship would pay dividends in other areas as well, translating into greater opportunities for strategic bilateral cooperation. This paper recognizes that the moment is now and that 2020 is a pivotal year to substantively advance bilateral economic ties.

In-Depth Research & Reports by By Abrão Neto, Ken Hyatt, Daniel Godinho, and Lisa Schineller With Roberta Braga

Brazil Economy & Business