Forward-looking…

Strategy requires foresight. Leveraging the Scowcroft Center’s cutting-edge strategic foresight practice, Forward Defense helps identify the most important long-term developments, trends, and technologies that are shaping the future geostrategic and military environment.

Emerging military technology

Nontraditional threats

Modeling the geopolitical future

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Experts and futurists

More on defense foresight & technology

Report

Sep 13, 2024

Part 3. Defense cooperation: Turkey’s triangular balancing in the Black Sea region

By Rich Outzen

For stability in the Black Sea region, the West should seek to converge with its most potent regional ally, Turkey.

Conflict
Defense Industry

UkraineAlert

Sep 10, 2024

Escalation management is the appeasement of the 21st century

By Peter Dickinson

The West’s emphasis on avoiding escalation following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the modern equivalent of the appeasement policies that emboldened Hitler and set the stage for WWII, writes Peter Dickinson.

Defense Policy
Defense Technologies

Issue Brief

Sep 10, 2024

Russian and Chinese strategic missile defense: Doctrine, capabilities, and development

By Jacob Mezey

In a follow up to Matthew R. Costlow and Robert M. Soofer’s paper, US Homeland Missile Defense: Room for Expanded Roles, former Forward Defense Program Assistant, Jacob Mezey, seeks to inform debates about missile defense policy by placing arguments that US ballistic missile defenses are uniquely destabilizing in the context of efforts by Russia and China to deploy similar systems.

China
Defense Policy

In the News

Sep 9, 2024

Hinata-Yamaguchi quoted in Domino Theory on Japan-NATO relations

On September 6, IPSI nonresident senior fellow Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi was quoted in Domino Theory regarding the visit of the Italian Navy aircraft carrier Cavour and its escort ship Alpino to Japan. Hinata-Yamaguchi noted that Japan values its evolving relationship with NATO as a means of promoting cooperation on global security issues as well as on security technologies. 

Defense Policy
Defense Technologies

Report

Sep 9, 2024

Defense technology and innovation in Germany

By Sven Weizenegger

This paper explores the critical aspects of defense technology and innovation within the  German armed forces, detailing the necessity for innovation, the role of defense innovation hubs (specifically the Bundeswehr Cyber Innovation Hub CIHBw), the significance of software-defined defense, the contribution of venture capitalists, and the importance of a  supportive legal framework. 

Cybersecurity
Defense Industry

Forward Defense leads the Atlantic Council’s US and global defense programming, developing actionable recommendations for the United States and its allies and partners to compete, innovate, and navigate the rapidly evolving character of warfare. Through its work on US defense policy and force design, the military applications of advanced technology, space security, strategic deterrence, and defense industrial revitalization, it informs the strategies, policies, and capabilities that the United States will need to deter, and, if necessary, prevail in major-power conflict.