Featured commentary & analysis

The Foresight, Strategy, and Risks Initiative provides strategic insight, trend evaluation and risk analysis to help elevate and sharpen the assessment of our connected, complex, and rapidly evolving world.

Featured in-depth research & reports

The Initiative leverages in-house expertise and cutting-edge tools such as data analytics, modeling, and simulations to provide pioneering research and analysis about the most important challenges of today and tomorrow.

Atlantic Council Strategy Paper Series

The Atlantic Council Strategy Papers series (ACSP) is the Atlantic Council’s flagship outlet for publishing high-level, strategic thinking. The series seeks to develop and promote sustainable, non-partisan strategies on the most important challenges facing the United States and its allies. The papers are authored by leading authorities and including a range of established and emerging strategic thinkers, from within and outside the Atlantic Council. The series is overseen by the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security and works in conjunction with other Atlantic Council Centers to create regional strategy task forces focusing on East Asia, Latin America, Europe, Africa, and Iran.




Mon, Sep 9, 2019

Recommendations on 5G and National Security

TO: National Security Community of the United States, its Allies, and Partners FROM: General James L. Jones, U.S. Marine Corps (Ret.) DATE: February 11, 2019 SUBJECT: Recommendations on 5G and National Security China’s aggressive attempt to subsidize the development of global 5G networks as a tool of Beijing’s geopolitical and economic power requires an urgent […]

Strategic Insights Memo by James L. Jones

China Security & Defense

Thu, Feb 28, 2019

Strategic surprises in the first year: principles for preparation and response

Preparing for and responding to strategic surprises is always difficult; that difficulty is often magnified in an administration's first year. Ideas and prerequisites for responding to strategic surprise are laid out in Paul Miller's longer memorandum.

Strategy Consortium by Hal Brands

Central Europe National Security

Thu, Feb 28, 2019

Connecting strategy and resources in national security: 10 recommendations for the Trump administration

Connecting strategy and resources is the central tenet of national security strategy. The four-step process proposed by the Atlantic Council should be used by the Trump administration when considering how to connect its strategy to resources.

Strategy Consortium by Stephen J. Hadley, James N. Miller, and Mara E. Karlin

China Korea

Thu, Feb 28, 2019

Elements of national security strategy

This paper enumerates the key pieces of a national security strategy and explains their importance. It also explores several additional elements that can be found in some national security strategies; these additional elements are not strictly necessary for the strategy to be viable, but are intended to strengthen the document or the government’s ability to implement it.

Strategy Consortium by Malia DuMont

National Security Security & Defense

Thu, Feb 28, 2019

Purpose of a national security strategy

Since the original Congressional mandate and its update in the 1986 Goldwater-Nichols Department of Defense Reorganization Act, the purpose of the National Security Strategy has changed in order to better reflect a changing global landscape. Today, there are six broad purposes for a National Security Strategy.

Strategy Consortium by Barry Pavel, Alex Ward

National Security Security & Defense

Thu, Feb 28, 2019

Incorporating Risk into National Security Planning

Risk is a critical concept for helping decision-makers identify and make policy choices that support strategic priorities, but it is often mis-applied. To ensure that risk is appropriately informing strategic decision-making, it is essential to avoid some common pitfalls by taking the approach described.

Strategy Consortium by Malia K. Du Mont

National Security Security & Defense

Thu, Feb 28, 2019

Strategic priorities for the next administration

What should be the strategic priorities for the next US presidential administration?

Strategy Consortium by Atlantic Council

China National Security

Fri, Jan 25, 2019

How to strengthen the US approach to artificial intelligence

TO: US National Security Community FROM: Barry Pavel, Matthew Kroenig, and Anastasia Kazteridis DATE: January 25, 2019 SUBJECT: How to Strengthen the US Approach to Artificial Intelligence This Strategic Insights Memo (SIM) outlines and assesses the US government’s current approach to artificial intelligence (AI). Despite significant progress, the US Government (USG) is not where it […]

Strategic Insights Memo by Barry Pavel, Matthew Kroenig, and Anastasia Kazteridis

Defense Technologies National Security

Wed, Oct 3, 2018

Artificial Intelligence and National Security

TO: US National Security Community FROM: Matthew Kroenig and Anastasia Kazteridis DATE: October 3, 2018 SUBJECT: Artificial Intelligence and National Security This Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Strategic Insights Memo briefly frames the emerging issue of artificial intelligence (AI) and its implications for national security. It provides: A brief primer on AI;Its possible applications […]

Strategic Insights Memo by Matthew Kroenig and Anastasia Kazteridis

China Defense Technologies

Tue, Jul 24, 2018

Tech Revolt: Why Are Silicon Valley Employees Fighting Government Contracts?

We live in an increasingly technological world—Fitbits monitor our health, Alexa organizes our homes, and social media guide our social lives. Global efforts to develop and implement artificial intelligence (AI) are escalating into what some call an arms race, and cybersecurity is becoming a central security concern as hacking of governments and tech companies occurs […]

FutureSource by Giulia Neaher