The GeoStrategy Initiative, housed within the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, serves to directly advance the Scowcroft Center’s core mission by developing sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and its allies and partners. Its competencies in long-range foresight and strategy development are vital assets to government and business leaders as they navigate a complex and unpredictable world. Through its work, the initiative strives to revitalize, adapt, and defend a rules-based international system in order to foster peace, prosperity, and freedom for decades to come.

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Foresight

The new decade is in rapid flux and is characterized by geopolitical turbulence, economic complexity, technological disruption, demographic shifts and social interconnectedness. In this changing environment, we focus on identifying the key trends and risks which will fundamentally shape the future of humanity and global affairs. Our work encompasses a wide range of issues, from demography and urbanization to migration, power transitions and global governance, but is always driven by the principle that foresight is a key mindset for decision-making.

Technology and innovation

The Fourth Industrial Revolution is already underway. Technological development will fundamentally alter the global geopolitical landscape by changing governance structures, challenging human ingenuity and demanding innovative policy responses. Our team analyzes the political, socioeconomic, ecological, and security implications of emerging technologies, maps the evolution of innovation ecosystems and distills blueprints for entrepreneurship, in the Unites States and globally.

Geopolitics

The global power shift towards Asia, the United States’ relative decline and the emergence of transnational threats such as climate change are pulling at the threads of the post-World War II international system. Our team’s research discerns the outline of the dawning multipolar order by exploring power transitions, geopolitical shifts, and civil society movements. At the same time, we seek to challenge the assumptions which have been underpinning US foreign policy for the last 70 years and adapt them for current times.

Non-traditional security challenges

In the 21st century, the definition of security and its global architecture are changing under the pressure of transnational, non-traditional threats such as migration, climate change and inequality, in an unresponsive global governance system. GSI is reframing security policy paradigms by bringing into the fold cutting-edge issues such as environmental security, peacebuilding, resilience and illicit trade, and providing policy solutions for the international community, states and citizens.

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The Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security works to develop sustainable, nonpartisan strategies to address the most important security challenges facing the United States and the world.

Content

In the News

Aug 4, 2025

Michta published in RealClearDefense and featured in RealClearWorld on NATO and European security

On August 1, 2025, Andrew Michta, senior fellow in the GeoStrategy Initiative, was published in RealClearDefense on what Europe’s “rapidly shifting internal power dynamic” may mean for Germany’s role in the continent’s security architecture. The piece was featured in RealClearWorld.

Europe & Eurasia Germany

Report

Aug 1, 2025

Defining Canada’s threat landscape: Resetting for a new reality

By Peter Engelke, Ginger Matchett, Samantha Wong

In a changing strategic landscape, Canada must reinforce its national security and confront the threats of geopolitics, climate change, and emerging technology.

Climate Change & Climate Action Defense Policy

New Atlanticist

Jul 17, 2025

Time remains on Putin’s side. That must change.

By Caroline Zier

The United States can take five specific actions now to disabuse the Russian president of the belief that he can simply play for time in Ukraine.

Conflict Politics & Diplomacy

New Atlanticist

Jul 15, 2025

How Canada can become a global food security superpower

By Ginger Matchett, Peter Engelke

Policymakers and business leaders will need to make significant progress across four specific areas to propel Canadian agriculture forward.

Economy & Business Resilience & Society

In the News

Jul 8, 2025

Gray in the National Interest on the potential intersection of pollution tariffs and trade deals

On July 7, Alexander B. Gray, a nonresident senior fellow with the GeoStrategy Initiative at the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, was published in the National Interest on how the US presidential administration could use tariffs on imports produced using highly pollutive methods to level the playing field on trade.

China Economy & Business

New Atlanticist

Jul 3, 2025

In the fight against foreign information manipulation, the US can’t afford to disarm

By Bailey Galicia

The United States must adopt an innovative defense posture that matches the pace and complexity of foreign influence operations.

Disinformation Politics & Diplomacy

In the News

Jun 30, 2025

Michta published in 19FortyFive, RealClearDefense and RealClearWorld on NATO’s defense commitments

On June 30, Andrew Michta, senior fellow in the GeoStrategy Initiative, was published in 19FortyFive on the outcomes of the 2025 NATO Summit in The Hague. He argues that the summit underscored the United States’ role as the cornerstone of European security and notes that the pursuit of European defense autonomy remains impractical given current […]

Europe & Eurasia NATO

In the News

Jun 27, 2025

Metzl featured across major media outlets responding to US strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities

Jamie Metzl, nonresident senior fellow in the GeoStrategy Initiative, offered analysis across numerous media platforms including, Fox News, CNN, News Nation, Fox & Friends, the Brian Kilmeade Show, the New York Post, and Mediaite following US President Trump’s decision to attack Iran’s nuclear sites. He argued that the United States is now better positioned to […]

Iran Middle East

In the News

Jun 17, 2025

Zier interviewed on ABC News on how the US should navigate the Israel-Iran conflict

On June 17, Carolien Zier, nonresident senior fellow in the GeoStrategy Initiative, was interviewed on ABC News on the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran and potential US responses. She emphasized that the US has the critical imperative to protect its forces in the region while standing firm with its allies.

Conflict Israel

In the News

Jun 17, 2025

Bayoumi quoted in the Washington Examiner on Canada’s cooperation on Trump’s Golden Dome

On June 17, Imran Bayoumi, associate director of the GeoStrategy Initiative, was quoted in the Washington Examiner emphasizing the need for clarity on the scope and objectives of US President Donald Trump’s Golden Dome defense system to secure Canadian support.

Politics & Diplomacy Security & Defense