Wed, Jul 15, 2020

Strategies for reforming Afghanistan’s illicit networks

In-Depth Research & Reports by Harris Samad and Fatima Salman

Related Experts: James B. Cunningham, Omar Samad, Marika Theros, Javid Ahmad, Fatemeh Aman, Fatima Salman,

Afghanistan Arms Control Corruption International Financial Institutions Non-Traditional Threats South Asia Weapons Trafficking

Trucks wait to cross the Afghanistan-Iran border in Zaranj, Afghanistan, May 10, 2011. The crossing is part of a busy trade route between Central Asia and the Middle East. (U.S. Marine Corps photo by Sgt. Mallory S. VanderSchans/Released)

Executive summary

This report explores illicit networks in Afghanistan in the context of peacebuilding, democratic consolidation, and enhancing state capacity. Existing literature on the topic is sparse. While the 1990s saw study of the subject matter as tangential to international arms and drug trafficking policies, this period laid the foundation for renewed interest on the issue partially catalyzed by the 2001 US-led invasion. The 2008 global financial crisis shifted this lens toward one of countering the financing of terrorism strategies, corruption, and money laundering. The current day reflects a broadening of how illicit networks are analyzed beyond sector-specific policies; that is, the subject matter today encompasses more of the sectors that make it profitable, rather than focusing only on the most relevant component at a given time. Indeed, it is an internationalized issue, encompassing the smuggling of different goods and involving individuals of varying motivations and capacities within and without Afghanistan.

Illicit networks can be broadly understood at three main levels: hyper-local, national, and international. At a hyper-local level, illicit networks represent a series of interpersonal relationships that facilitate the exchange of goods and compensation (taking many forms) beyond the reach of central law enforcement or political authority. Nationally, illicit networks comprise regional and countrywide patronage, criminal, and insurgent networks that organize and profiteer from the hyper-local relationships on a macro level. Internationally, actors with reach outside of the country move illicitly gained goods such as poppy, talc, methamphetamine, minerals, and others, as well as people via human trafficking, into trading hubs in Iran, Pakistan, and the Gulf for export into international markets. They then use poorly regulated financial institutions throughout the world (notably, Western and Gulf banking systems) to store funds, some of which make their way back to Afghanistan (though this phenomenon is particularly difficult to track).

This report outlines several specific policy recommendations that will be necessary to combat the illicit networks in a manner that supports the durability of the ongoing peace process in Afghanistan and the continued consolidation of its fragile democratic institutions. These recommendations include the following:

For Afghanistan:

  • Provide a path for illicit actors into the formal economy 
  • Generate political will and support
  • Establish high-level Afghan support for countering illicit trafficking and upholding the rule of law
  • Implement enhanced border management 
  • Expand the negotiating table to include more localized narratives 
  • Strengthen and internationalize counter-threat finance strategies

For the United States:

  • Support a comprehensive economic settlement
  • Ensure future interoperability between Afghan and US security forces

For regional stakeholders:

  • Provide access to global markets to enhance regional trade integration
  • Cut off regional and international components of networks to reduce viability and profitability via neighborhood watchdogs, in conjunction with the United States

The South Asia Center serves as the Atlantic Council’s focal point for work on greater South Asia as well as its relations between these countries, the neighboring regions, Europe, and the United States.

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